Yes he is free-rolling BUT the pot is too big. There is $114 in the pot already, if opponent folds Hero wins $114. If opponent pushes and Hero calls Hero will win $259 20% of the time but split 80% of the time (ie: win 1/2 of $114 which is 57).
So...
Check call gives a profit of $57 80% of the times and $259 20% of the time, pushing gives a profit of $114. Played five times the check/call will average (57*4+259)/5 = $97.4. Pushing will win an extra $16.6.
If the pot was smaller it would be better to check/call a push but with the pot this big, it's more profitable to get him to lay it down.Statistics: Posted by Stoneburg — Fri Jun 16, 2006 6:06 am
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