JJ UTG
I'm not sure it is profitable to push JJ when UTG. Assuming people play perfectly against you (ie: calling with AA-QQ and folding everything else). It's 0.6% chance to get AA, so with ONE player left to act he'd have a 1.8% chance of having a better hand than you, but with 9 players I figure the chance of nobody having a better hand would be only about 85%. So assuming they play perfect you increase your stack with 1.5bb 85% of the time but on average lose 11.7bb the other 15% of the time, making it a -1.3bb EV move against perfect players.
Obviously this is incredibly simplified. It doesn't consider multiway pots, the fact that you could get called by inferior hands etc. I have however been doing different calculations and considering other things and I still end up on the fence, does anyone have any theories or enough of a sample size to shed some light on this? It seems like most people advocate pushing it.Statistics: Posted by Stoneburg — Mon Jul 17, 2006 7:26 pm
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