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Statistics: Posted by Eclipse86 — Mon Oct 16, 2006 10:29 pm
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Anyways, I pushed and Villian showed me that I was drawing dead on the turn - TT. No way I was folding this.
So I reloaded, shook my head, and opened this up:
Statistics: Posted by Runner_Runner — Sun Oct 15, 2006 10:41 am
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Most players at $50 NL FR are extremely predictable. "No special reads on Villain" = I will default to assuming he is one of the very predictable players.
Extremely predictable $50 NL players do not raise hands preflop with a T in them, with the exception of TT. Even on the button ... they just don't. This guy's range preflop is AA KK QQ JJ TT AK AQ ... probably 90% of the time. Maybe maybe maybe lower pocket pairs and AJs on very rare occasions. Suited connectors once in a blue moon.
In any case. This guy preflop raises and then flat calls a most-of-pot bet and a call on that flop. Looks to me like he's not scared of anything. QQ JJ AQ are just out. All that's left is AA AK KK TT.
The turn made all of those hands look much, much worse except KK and TT. You could easily have been betting any T to see where you stood on the flop, and now you're happy with your hand so you bet more. AK and AA are shitting themselves. And $50 NL players who are shitting themselves do not make big, committing raises.
The guy has KK 85% of the time, TT 3% of the time, and a totally donkily played AK or AA 10% of the time. KT say 1% and QT/JT/T9 another 1%.
I don't know that I would actually fold here. I would probably justify a call based on pot odds and all that good stuff. But it is the farthest thing from an easy push.
Statistics: Posted by k3nt — Sat Oct 14, 2006 11:28 pm
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Statistics: Posted by Henderson121 — Sat Oct 14, 2006 11:15 pm
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He had KK. Reload and move on. Without a read saying that villain only raises AA/KK and then it's tight post flop I am not folding a set. Hell, Imight not fold it even with the read. He could have AA, AK, AT,KK and TT. You beat three of those. Call and if he had KK or TT..well, better luck next time.
You call $35 to win $84. You need to win this about half the time in order to be profitable. I think in NL$50 you'll have the best hand way often than that..
Statistics: Posted by AlexMR — Sat Oct 14, 2006 12:40 am
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) from (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
saw flop|saw showdown
CO ($128.70)
Button ($65.55)
SB ($119.10)
BB ($37.90)
Hero ($54.60)
UTG+1 ($88.80)
MP1 ($51.60)
MP2 ($43.50)
MP3 ($36.25)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 6
, 6
. Hero calls $0.50, 3 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, 1 fold, Button raises to $2, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.50, MP3 calls $1.50.
Flop: ($6.75) T
, 6
, K (3 players)Hero bets $5, MP3 calls $5, Button calls $5.
Turn: ($21.75) T
(3 players)Hero bets $15, MP3 folds, Button raises to $40.5, Hero ???
Statistics: Posted by Runner_Runner — Sat Oct 14, 2006 12:22 am
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