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AA/KK's gonna look to get it all-in here which isn't so bad because his flop bet makes it clear he doesn't have a set. Not to mention that if you're raise is strong enough, he too might call and give you a free river, but you'll get to the turn when you get there if he just calls.
The pot's so big that a free river's not looking possible, so raise it up to $25 and commit your stack or better yet, just push. Taking down a 34bb pot with 9 hi ain't so bad in my book. Raising to $30' and pushing a vast majority of turns is my line, though.
Turn- What a great turn. OMFG!!! He's usually not making a sucker bet with AQ/KQ with 2 FD's on the board. You have $44 left. There's $33 in the pot he folds sooo much here and you win 30% of the times he calls.
River- As played, again, no way he has a Queen or a boat which has already been established, pushing isn't bad, but your actions'll reek of a busted club draw which is why I'd push here with a boat to some people.
Get out the limit-calling-station mode. You hit the gas 1-2 streets too late and got lucky, IMO.
Statistics: Posted by DonkiFornication — Wed Dec 06, 2006 11:08 pm
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I was planning to fire turn if he checked, and I don't think he fires again with AK/JJ or whatever.
I really think this is one of those spots where raising flop is maybe slightly +ev, but calling is probably much more so.
Maybe turn push is best.
edit: Oh, and if I really did have a Q, I don't fear a flush draw at all. Since both queens are out there, he'd basically have to be holding AKc or AKs, which is far far less likely than AA/KK.
Statistics: Posted by Ichoi — Wed Dec 06, 2006 11:01 pm
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If you read turn bet for weakness...RAISE (push). He's not going to give you credit if you just call since you should fear the TWO FDs out there.
Statistics: Posted by black_knight6 — Wed Dec 06, 2006 10:36 pm
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Since starting again 5 days ago I've been 4 tabling .25/.5 6 max NL on stars. Have played a bit of full table also.
Although I don't pretend to be a good player yet, I've been running pretty well in the 11k hands I've played so far.
I don't normally try things this stupid, but here's a bluffs I tried. I'll say right it worked but I want to know if I'm really spewing chips or if I actually picked a decent spot.
5 handed, effective stacks $56
villain stats, 22/10/7 - 125 hands
Dealt to Hero
![[9c]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/9c.gif "The Nine of Clubs")
![[7c]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/7c.gif "The Seven of Clubs")
on button2 folds, Hero raises to $2, sb folds, villain (BB) reraises to $4.5, hero calls.
Flop
![[Qc]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Qc.gif "The Queen of Clubs")
![[8s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/8s.gif "The Eight of Spades")
![[5c]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/5c.gif "The Five of Clubs")
Pot $9.25Villain bets $8, Hero calls.
Turn
![[Qs]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Qs.gif "The Queen of Spades")
Pot $25.25Villain bets $8, hero calls.
River
![[4s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/4s.gif "The Four of Spades")
Pot $41.25Villain checks, Hero bets $35, Villain calls time, makes a comment about the queen/sucking out/being a calling station and folds with a few seconds remaining.
Analysis: Preflop raise I think is pretty standard on button, calling his reraise because he made it too cheap. Obviously I'm not planning to do anything if I flop one pair. I have him pegged pretty squarely on a big pair.
Flop he bets pretty big, but I have him pegged on KK/AA at this point. I believe he isn't folding and he probably plays for stacks if a club rolls off, also I have a fairly unlikely gutshot that should get paid off if he really has an over pair.
Turn, I took his bet to be real weakness and he was worried I made trips. I quickly called. I thought about min raise bluffing (which I never ever do with a good hand... or a bluff for that matter) but was afraid it might actually work and suck him in. I think he maybe folds to a push here, but I think if that he thinks that if I really had a Q in position I'd try to 'suck him in' and just smooth call, expecting to get allin on the river.
River, he checks and I don't wait long to bet big, not quite enough to put him in (3 dollars behind), but close. I think it actually looks stronger than an allin to the type of player I have him pegged as. (A good player, but not 'that' good) and he probably thinks I'm a huge donk. (maybe he's right?)
Question, who likes my line here, what could be better. Fold preflop? Raise flop? Raise turn? Appreciate any feedback.
Statistics: Posted by Ichoi — Wed Dec 06, 2006 10:33 pm
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