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Though based on your image you'd think it would be almost a certainty that you could get away with a check-raise here, since the table probably adjusts to your river bluffs by trying to force you out on the turn.
However, because there or so many draws on board that beat you and they have you pegged as a LAG, you might get raised huge here by K-Q/Q-J. With your image it would seem like a bad idea to go for the CR because they are gonna call/raise your lead if they were gonna bet it anyways (based on your table image).
Statistics: Posted by Devbert — Sun May 13, 2007 11:05 am
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Say you bet $90, you'd have to get called three times as often to make that more profitable. So if he'll call an overbet only 1/4, he'll have to call your smaller bet 75% of the time for it to be better. I would think he'll call an overbet close to 50% of the time, and a smaller bet maybe 75% of the time, meaning an overbet is more profitable. And of course, even if you don't get called, the whole table will be affected and your already good image will improve even more.
Statistics: Posted by Stoneburg — Sun May 13, 2007 8:44 am
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Not only is that an over bet of the pot, but as was mentioned a few days ago, live players think in terms of "actual amount of the bet" as oppossed to "size of bet compared to pot size". $280 is a HUGE bet in this game. If he calls that its because he thinks I have nothing at all. Nobody in this game has had the balls to call my bets yet and I havent come close to shoving $280 in on the river yet..
Statistics: Posted by iceman5 — Sun May 13, 2007 7:42 am
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If you get called, push any non-diamond river.
Statistics: Posted by Stoneburg — Sun May 13, 2007 7:37 am
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T-Rod, why does that always happen to me? The only thing I said to the guy was "I have you beat but Im gonna let you have it cuz I dont know what the other guy has". At the end of the hand I said "NH, I knew I had you beat but you outplayed me". He showed down Q7 on a J7xxx board. I really had 72 though and had raised preflop with it. He got pissed but it was really because I stacked him earlier.
Ive raised 54s...bet a AQ7 flop and got called...checked thru on a J turn...and fired away on a T river....then showed it.
I had T5 and check raised a river on a K59Q3 board after it got checked to the river. There was a bet, I call and then I CR it....and showed after i took it down.
Another hand there was a $20 raise and I made it $200. You should of heard the yapping at that table
You get the idea. These guys are tired of it.
So the hand.....I limp
![[5s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/5s.gif "The Five of Spades")
[6s] UTG. Theres a 95% the pot wont get raised. It limps 5 ways.Pot $25. Flop
![[Qd]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Qd.gif "The Queen of Diamonds")
[7h][8d]. Checked to the button who bets $20. I call as does MP.Pot $85. Turn
![[4c]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/4c.gif "The Four of Clubs")
. Hey, Kenny...I have the nuts! What do I do? They have about $350 each and I cover.
Statistics: Posted by iceman5 — Sun May 13, 2007 7:17 am
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