Couple of factors here:
1 - He's OTB and aggressive. Good chance he doesn't have much of a hand and I get him to fold a better Ace or middle pocket pair?
2 - I will play trips or a set like this, especially after showing a hand like this. See:
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at
Stacks:
UTG ($51.40)
Hero ($43.50)
MP1 ($51.85)
MP2 ($49.95)
MP3 ($41.15)
CO ($65.10)
BTN ($45.65)
SB ($26.90)
BB ($7.70)
Pre-flop: ($0.75, 9 players) Hero is UTG+1
![[Jc]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Jc.gif "The Jack of Clubs")
[Jh]1 fold, Hero calls $0.5 ($43.00), 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.5 ($40.65), CO raises to $3 ($62.10), 3 folds, Hero calls $2.5 ($40.50), MP3 folds ($40.65)
54.00% (EV = $0.92)
46.00% (EV = $0.33)Flop:
![[5s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/5s.gif "The Five of Spades")
[Js][7s] ($7.25, 2 players)Hero checks ($40.50), CO bets $4.5 ($57.60), Hero goes all-in $40.5 ($0.00), CO calls $36 ($21.60)
34.40% (EV = -$10.14) 65.60% (EV = $17.39)Turn:
![[Th]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Th.gif "The Ten of Hearts")
($88.25, 2 players) 22.70% (EV = $20.03) 77.30% (EV = $68.22)River:
![[9d]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/9d.gif "The Nine of Diamonds")
($88.25, 2 players) 0.00% (EV = $0.00) 100.00% (EV = $88.25)Final Pot: $88.25
Hero shows:
[Jh]CO shows:
![[Qs]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Qs.gif "The Queen of Spades")
[As]CO wins $85.25 ( won +$41.75 )
Hero lost -$43.50
MP3 lost -$0.50
OK, bad example considering the result I guess, but anyway.....
As a 40% dog + image considerations in the original hand, do I really mind the call all that much?
Statistics: Posted by MTPaid — Thu Nov 15, 2007 8:44 pm
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I usually don't like to do this on paired boards, but I felt an aggressive player on the button had a large enough range that it might be +EV to push here.
Turns out he had a big hand and insta-called. But I'm kinda still liking my play here despite the results because of fold equity + pot size. (I had 11 outs on the flop and even picked up 2 more on the turn)
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
8 players
Converted at
Stacks:
UTG ($29.50)
UTG+1 ($11.15)
MP1 ($24.30)
MP2 ($55.00)
Hero ($51.15)
BTN ($75.95)
SB ($44.75)
BB ($56.95)
Pre-flop: ($0.75, 8 players) Hero is CO
![[Ah]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Ah.gif "The Ace of Hearts")
[7h]UTG calls $0.5 ($29.00), UTG+1 calls $0.5 ($10.65), MP1 calls $0.5 ($23.80), 1 fold, Hero calls $0.5 ($50.65), BTN raises to $2.5 ($73.45), 2 folds, UTG folds ($29.00), UTG+1 calls $2 ($8.65), MP1 folds ($23.80), Hero calls $2 ($48.65)
31.60% (EV = $0.42)
68.40% (EV = $3.83)Flop:
![[6s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/6s.gif "The Six of Spades")
[6h][Th] ($9.25, 3 players)UTG+1 checks ($8.65), Hero checks ($48.65), BTN bets $4.5 ($68.95), UTG+1 folds ($8.65), Hero goes all-in $48.65 ($0.00), BTN calls $44.15 ($24.80)
40.80% (EV = -$5.18) 59.20% (EV = $14.43)Turn:
![[7s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/7s.gif "The Seven of Spades")
($106.55, 2 players) 29.50% (EV = $31.43) 70.50% (EV = $75.12)River:
![[4d]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/4d.gif "The Four of Diamonds")
($106.55, 2 players) 0.00% (EV = $0.00) 100.00% (EV = $106.55)Final Pot: $106.55
Hero shows:
[7h]BTN shows:
![[Qh]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Qh.gif "The Queen of Hearts")
[Qd]BTN wins $103.55 ( won +$52.4 )
UTG lost -$0.50
UTG+1 lost -$2.50
MP1 lost -$0.50
Hero lost -$51.15
Statistics: Posted by MTPaid — Thu Nov 15, 2007 7:57 pm
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