Pot is $84 on the river so here I need him to fold roughly half the time. On the other hand, it is so obvious what I am representing that I think it is worth the risk.
Seat 1: HERO
![[9s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/9s.gif "The Nine of Spades")
[Js] ($491.45 in chips)Seat 2: Savantage ($394.00 in chips)
Seat 4: i got what ($502.10 in chips)
Seat 8: georg14 ($394.90 in chips)
PRE-FLOP
georg14 calls $4, HERO bets $15, Savantage folds, i got what folds, georg14 calls $11.
FLOP board cards
![[Kc]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Kc.gif "The King of Clubs")
[5c][Jh]georg14 checks, HERO bets $25, georg14 calls $25.
TURN board cards
[5c][Jh][7c]georg14 checks, HERO checks.
RIVER board cards
[5c][Jh][7c][4c]georg14 bets $30, HERO bets $120, georg14 folds.
SHOWDOWN
HERO wins $232.
Statistics: Posted by Stoneburg — Wed Dec 12, 2007 7:04 pm
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My first thought was he either has a monster or a weak made hand. He will lay down the weak made hand to a CR to $100+ almost all the time. There is $172 in the pot now, a call will cost you $24. The CR will make him lay down anything you would call and beat anyway so when comparing the CR to a flat call it's a question of how often that exta $76 gets him to fold out something that beats you.
I would say at least 40% of the time - making the CR the best choice IMHO and better than folding too.
Hand 1 I call, Hand 3 I fold without an insane read - I'm not sure 22 even counts as abluff catcher here - he could easily think he's bluffing and stil have me beaten by accident.
Statistics: Posted by excession — Wed Dec 12, 2007 7:50 am
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