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If you're 90% sure that he has 33 then it's a very easy fold.
I really doubt that you can be 90% sure that he has 33 though. I feel he will show up with AK/AQ/A3 or AJ himself often enough to make calling his flop shove +EV, if only marginally.
If we know that he's a nit or super solid TAG or that he always 3bets AJ+ preflop and never raises A-rag on this flop, then I think folding is OK.
Statistics: Posted by GodlikeRoy — Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:25 pm
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Converter Tool from (Format: Bet The Pot)
Button ($200)
SB ($196)
Hero ($195.70)
UTG ($65.10)
MP ($196.35)
CO ($106.65)
Preflop: Hero is BB with
![[Ah]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Ah.gif "The Ace of Hearts")
, ![[Js]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Js.gif "The Jack of Spades")
. 1 fold, MP raises to $8, 1 fold, Button calls $8, 1 fold, Hero calls $6.
Flop: ($25)
![[Jh]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Jh.gif "The Jack of Hearts")
, ![[Ad]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Ad.gif "The Ace of Diamonds")
, ![[3s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/3s.gif "The Three of Spades")
(3 players)Hero checks, MP bets $8, Button raises to $24, Hero raises to $70, MP folds, Button raises to $192, Hero calls $117.70 (All-In).
Turn: ($408.40)
![[5s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/5s.gif "The Five of Spades")
(2 players, 1 all-in)River: ($408.40)
![[3d]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/3d.gif "The Three of Diamonds")
(2 players, 1 all-in)Final Pot: $408.40
Statistics: Posted by seatown — Fri Jan 25, 2008 10:59 pm
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