Statistics: Posted by iceman5 — Sun Feb 03, 2008 9:27 pm
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I bet $30 on the turn and he called.
River was some non heart blank. I bet $30 again and he called with AQ.
Statistics: Posted by iceman5 — Sun Feb 03, 2008 4:04 pm
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I've never seen a regular with a 3b range of 9%!!! Mine is maybe 5% and that's pretty high...so this guy's is more likely going to be <1%, and that's AA/KK/AK.
Statistics: Posted by black_knight6 — Sun Feb 03, 2008 12:08 am
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Let's say ice has raised from CO and button every single time and he's folded for 5 orbits. That's just 10 times. That means that our best guess of his re-raising frequency is about 10%. That's a LOT more than QQ-AA and AK.
Until proven otherwise, I'm assuming he'd re-raise TT+ and AQ+ here at least. Given ice's maniac image, I do think he's laying down TT-QQ unless he has a heart, but I doubt he's laying down AQ even without Qh.
Also, getting it in with that pot-size and these stacks isn't really an issue. I think you're looking for a healthy $100 pot or somewhere around in there. He's probably also just calling the turn with AA/KK (at least most of the players in my live games would) in the hope you might bluff again.
And, as ice pointed out, you could get super lucky and have him with AA/KK when another 8 hits. Hence, that one I'd definitely bet out, hope for some kind of raise, then RN.
Statistics: Posted by Aisthesis — Sat Feb 02, 2008 11:10 pm
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On the turn, I think I'd bet maybe 25-ish. If he's been folding a lot and now re-raises, I'd say his range is moderately large--certainly including AK, AQ with Qh. QQ and JJ with a heart as well as sets.
I do think he's capable of having AA or KK even after checking the flop (although I hate his play with those hands). You're probably just going to have to sniff those out, which shouldn't be terribly difficult, although it should cost you something.
Anyhow, if he folds, fine. He'll usually call, I think. And if he does, I think I'd check-call most non-heart rivers that don't fill you up. Another heart, and if he bets anything substantial, I think you have to fold.
Statistics: Posted by Aisthesis — Sat Feb 02, 2008 11:06 pm
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This is really really gross...his range is mostly AA-QQ and AK. AK/AA-KK aren't going anywhere, but QQ is...you could bet/fold here. You could check again...I just wouldn't feel too happy about getting it in on the turn, or even by the river.
Statistics: Posted by black_knight6 — Sat Feb 02, 2008 10:11 pm
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Im running over the table with raises and Ive hit some hands. Ive shown down 65s after raising when I flopped 965 and got all in with a guy who had 88. I have $650 and the guy to my left has $440. Im raising his blinds with reckless abandon and he has done nothing but fold for 5 rounds.
I raise to $7 with
![[8c]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/8c.gif "The Eight of Clubs")
[7c]. He reraises to $22. As I said, he is laying down to me but this time reraises. I think we are deep enough for me to call even OOP right?So I call.
Pot $47. Flop
![[Ah]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/Ah.gif "The Ace of Hearts")
[Kh][8h]. Meh, Im ready to give up. I check...he checks behindPot $47. Turn
![[8s]](https://livepokerforum.com/images/smilies/8s.gif "The Eight of Spades")
. Hmm...Would he really check with AA / KK on this flop? What do you do here?Statistics: Posted by iceman5 — Sat Feb 02, 2008 9:47 pm
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