Hey TAGfish,
You don't bet with the 40% of your hand range that has the most equity in a situation where you bet 40% of the time. You probably attempt to "balance your range" in spots that SHOULD NOT BE BALANCED.
Ok this one is pretty tough for me to explain, and I've been trying to put it into words for a WHILE. Imagine a K52 rainbow flop where the cutoff opened for pot preflop and you called on the button. If the cutoff is a TAGfish it is very likely he will bet 100% of his range here and only call a TINY percentage of the time if you make a small raise. When they do call, their range is very skewed towards hands that have a lot of equity. Because of this, raising a large percentage of the time will be extremely profitable. TAGfish don't adjust so if you have a perfectly balanced range here you are burning money INSANE money. I used to think that the most profitable thing to do here was to balance my range. If I was only going to raise 3 hands for value, (22, 55, KK) I would raise exactly that same number of combinations as bluffs. Obviously the ratios vary greatly from player to player, but now there are definitely players you should raise 5x as often with hands worse than KT or K9 than with those better. The way I select those hands is by picking the ones that have the most equity if called. For example, A3 > K8 > 98. Because A3 has 4 times as much equity against a range of (KK+, 55, 22, K5s, K9+), you should be 4x as inclined to raise A3 as 98 here. Many TAGfish do not realize the massive differences between these hands and see both as just a no pair hand.
WTF? I must be doing something wrong.. I plugged A3 into PS and it showed A3 had about 24% equity against that range.. K8 had about 12-13.. Where is this 4x as much equity against this range?
Can someone explain this is good old BTP speak to me? (i.e. as if I were a grade schooler)
Whole thread is here http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showt ... p?t=146616
LOL @ Pok for not understandingStatistics: Posted by Pok 7's — Thu Mar 06, 2008 2:54 pm
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