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First:
Together with the statssheet, it actually says that I win 2 PTBB in non-show-down hands. Which of course sounds great. (if only i didn't run 13 k worse than EV in all in hands it would all be great, wouldn't it)
But when I check my PT, it says that i only win 39% when I have seen the flop. And I have 53.5% when I go to showdown. That is some weird numbers. How do they make sense? Can anybody explain?
Statistics: Posted by Electrolux — Sun Mar 23, 2008 2:46 am
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Just for arguments sake, say he has a busted draw 50% of the time.
If you bet $100, you win $236 50% of the time and lose $100 50% of the time. Net EV $136.
If you bet $250, you lose $250 50% of the time and win $236 50% of the time. Net EV -$14.
Pretty freaking big difference.
Or, put another way. If you bet $100 he has to have a busted draw 30% of the time for you to break even. If you bet $250 he has to have a busted draw 52% of the time for you to break even. Less than one third, vs more than half. Once again, pretty big diff.
Statistics: Posted by Stoneburg — Thu Mar 20, 2008 4:56 pm
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