First of all, according to my account, the guy is a calling station, so if I know I'm not going to fold to his bet - I also know he's not going to fold to mine (especially getting 4:1 on his call).
On the turn - the king is not only a scare card - it is squarely 50% of the possible holdings I've given him. By pushing - that's akin to knowing a guy is on a flush draw and pushing when the draw hits.
Although check-calling may seem like a weak thing to do here - I got to see the river for the cheapest with an admittedly questionable hand. If I push and win, I'll have 25.5k. If I push and lose I'm out. If I check and my opponent checks the river - I'm at 5k if I lose and 20k if I win.
Tournaments are more about survival than extracting the most from the hand. When I had originally posted the hand, I was really questioning my action. Now that I've had a good day to think about it - I'm fairly certain that my actions were probably optimal. If I had a significant amount of fold equity, the story would be different. Given that he was a calling station - I think checking it down is more optimal (even with the intention of calling any bet from him).Statistics: Posted by starstealer — Sun Apr 30, 2006 9:28 pm
]]>