The following hand came up from an Ultimate Bet $10 MTT with 256 entrants. It is indicative of a wider problem that I seem to run into, and I would be grateful for any comments.
Just after the first break. Blinds are 50-100. 125 people left. I have 3100.
I am in in first position with AKs. I raise to 400. Player to my left with 7K+ smooth calls. She has been aggressive to this point pre and post flop, but has only gone to showdown with big hands.
Everyone else folds.
Flop is Q 3 3. There is 950 in the pot.
I bet 1000. She calls.
Turn is a 7.
I have 1700. Pot is 2950. At this point, I am thinking that any big pocket pair would probably have raised me preflop. I am worried about a medium pocket pair, esp 77, but anything else she would find difficult to call an all in bet at this point, except QQ or AQ, but less so, as I would expect a re-raise on the flop. I also think that if I check this to her, a bet will force me to fold. So I push all in. And she calls. With AQs. And I lose.
Thinking back over this- I don't like my raise in first position. I wonder if I would be better limping and calling pre-flop (too weak tight?) or putting in a significant over bet to about 1000. In the latter case, she would find it tough to call with AQ, although perhaps not.
Incidentally, I also really like her smooth call on the flop, which is destined to make a sucker like me pay her off.
I obviously also hate my all in on the turn in retrospect. However, if she folds and shows me 10 10, it is a move of genius, and I have stolen a pot of 3K! Would everyone have gone into check/fold move and save their remaining 1600, as TK's strategy would advocate, had i followed it?Statistics: Posted by Telemachus — Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:22 am
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