Without antes there are 71K in the pot. It's 32K for you to call. You need to win less than 1 out of 3 to make the call EV. Even if this player is very tight and will only reraise with AA-QQ + AK you still win 36% of the times.
This is on the bubble and he is BB - there are no players behind him. I think he will make this reraise with a lot of hands. Let's say AA-99, AK-AQ. Now it's a coinflip.
If we include 88-66, AJ-AT + KQ you win 59% of the time.
You shouldnt raise 3xBB with JJ with less than 10xBB in your stack, when you are going to fold to a push from the big blind.
The AK hand is a very easy push. You got your money in as a big favourite when you were short stack.Statistics: Posted by Kalle — Mon May 30, 2005 8:10 am
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