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Live Poker Forum - Online Poker Forums & Hand Analysis Poker Forum 2005-04-27T12:13:25-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/feed.php?f=9&t=2782&mode 2005-04-27T12:13:25-06:00 2005-04-27T12:13:25-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19487#p19487 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by k3nt — Wed Apr 27, 2005 12:13 pm

]]> 2005-04-27T01:52:46-06:00 2005-04-27T01:52:46-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19396#p19396 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]>
so I'll give you the exact answer of hitting AA 3 times in a row.

As I'm kind I'll give you for i times in a row.

The probability of someone being dealt aces during a session of i+1 holdem hands is given by substracting 1 from the value of C(i) divided by 1326^(i+1)

ok and
C(i) =
(663+669 x racine(770)) / 28) x (660 +24 x racine (770) ) ^(i) +
(663-669 x racine(770)) / 28) x (660 -24 x racine (770) ) ^(i)

So for AA being dealt 3 times in a row the probability is 0.0041% that is 24475 : 1

source : http://www.math.sfu.ca/~alspach/comp45.pdf

edit : these numbers seems to be quite high compared to what you calculate, I'll ask Mulder and Skully to see if the truth is elsewhere..////

Statistics: Posted by euri10 — Wed Apr 27, 2005 1:52 am

]]> 2005-04-26T23:45:06-06:00 2005-04-26T23:45:06-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19374#p19374 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by Rhound50 — Tue Apr 26, 2005 11:45 pm

]]> 2005-04-26T22:00:46-06:00 2005-04-26T22:00:46-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19362#p19362 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by Jeffm351 — Tue Apr 26, 2005 10:00 pm

]]> 2005-04-26T17:14:51-06:00 2005-04-26T17:14:51-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19324#p19324 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by iceman5 — Tue Apr 26, 2005 5:14 pm

]]> 2005-04-26T14:12:32-06:00 2005-04-26T14:12:32-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19268#p19268 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by k3nt — Tue Apr 26, 2005 2:12 pm

]]> 2005-04-26T13:34:14-06:00 2005-04-26T13:34:14-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19254#p19254 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by briachek — Tue Apr 26, 2005 1:34 pm

]]> 2005-04-26T10:50:47-06:00 2005-04-26T10:50:47-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19209#p19209 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> because a lot of people are really confused by that.

hitting AA 3 times in a row has the same probability as hitting AA !

yes, this is random, all games are independant, so there's is absolutly NO reason (at least no mathematical reason) to have the probability of hitting AA just after AA has been dealt to be lower than 221:1, the probability remains the SAME !!!

people are confused by that because it seems extraordinary to have AA 3 times, in fact it's pure random.

if you make the inverse reasonning, do you really think you have more probability to hit AA after you've been dealt 10 garbage hands, 20 garbage, 1000 garbage ???
There's no change at all !

Statistics: Posted by euri10 — Tue Apr 26, 2005 10:50 am

]]> 2005-04-26T10:29:31-06:00 2005-04-26T10:29:31-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19202#p19202 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by iceman5 — Tue Apr 26, 2005 10:29 am

]]> 2005-04-26T03:57:24-06:00 2005-04-26T03:57:24-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=19132#p19132 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by euri10 — Tue Apr 26, 2005 3:57 am

]]> 2005-04-22T14:53:45-06:00 2005-04-22T14:53:45-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=18433#p18433 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by iceman5 — Fri Apr 22, 2005 2:53 pm

]]> 2005-04-22T13:32:28-06:00 2005-04-22T13:32:28-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=18417#p18417 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by MVPSPORTS — Fri Apr 22, 2005 1:32 pm

]]> 2005-04-22T12:13:30-06:00 2005-04-22T12:13:30-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=18387#p18387 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by k3nt — Fri Apr 22, 2005 12:13 pm

]]> 2005-04-22T11:37:42-06:00 2005-04-22T11:37:42-06:00 https://livepokerforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=2782&p=18375#p18375 <![CDATA[Odds of the same person hitting AA 3 times in a row...]]> Statistics: Posted by WildBillHickok — Fri Apr 22, 2005 11:37 am

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