Hey Dax
Well, damn! Im glad my wonderful 'poker insights' actually do something for someone besides lose the rent money. IM glad to hear your doing well.
As far as the hand that you posted, that is a tough one. I like the way you played the flop, obviously. You gotta jam that hand as fast as possible as much as possible. The turn was a very bad card for you though, i admit. It brought a flush and an overcard. But, your opponents checked!
Now this is a touchy situation because the short handed tables are the check/raise capitals of the world. You definitely dont want to lose 2bb, and if someone has a flush, you have nothing to redraw to, and that always sucks.
However, I think you can safely bet here, and if you walk into a check raise, you can safely muck your hand, unless your opponents are really tricky and youve seen em make some big moves (like someone doing that with a naked
is possible, but very unusual- or maybe the
and a smaller pair-not as unusual but still pretty damn rare) The thing is, your threebet could easily be seen as a free card play for a flush draw since you were in position, and its doubtful anyone from EP would have the gall to raise your bet in this spot without a flush, because you having the flush seems too likely...or posibly some other big hand like a set that isnt going anywhere--I also think that because the flush card is such an obvious scare card, someone that made the flush would PROBLY just go ahead and bet it, and hope you call station him. Check raise attempts on flushes miss too often, and even when you getem off, the CR is more likely to knock someone holding a pair out of the hand than a bet is, because its more of a show of strength generally, and its more costly to someone that wants to see the showdown.
What this means is that you can safely bet your hand probably, and then if you just get called, you can figure your probably still good. However, if there were 3 opponents in, id probably check the river, just in case one of them stumbled into 2 pair, or played thier king weakly because of the fear of the flush--And anyway, the main reason for betting was protecting your hand--this particular hand is pretty marginal in terms of value betting, esp with 5 cards and a flush out there on the river, IMHO.
So what this all means is yeah, you should bet your hand, because if its NOT good, youll know it real quick and be able to muckit safely, and if it IS good, its pretty damn fragile, and you cant afford to give a free card here. I mean seeing those guys' hands is a perfect example of why you NEEDED to bet this, inspite of the scary card- Look at how many river cards destroy your hand...Any club, any 7, 8, or any J. Now its true they had some of each others outs, but at LEAST 10 cards in the deck killed you, and probly more (Just took a final- head... hurts...numbers, bad...)
Now, if you were bound and determined to see the showdown with this hand, and you knew that you were not going to lay it down anyway, then your best off checking and calling. However, i wouldnt recommend this type of play-- if your wanna beat this game like a red headed stepshild, ya gotta get over your deepest, darkest fear (MY deepest darkest fear anyway!) which is obviously FOLDING THE BEST HAND! Whenever i fold a good hand to a turn CR bluff and lose a big pot i feel like a god damn retard. But, in a few hours, when im 1k up from when it happened, its all just water under the bridge.
So thats my advie on this hand, for what its worth...