by Calaziar » Sun Sep 24, 2006 1:29 pm
I agree, roadhouse, that EP was my main concern if only because of his position. I also can see limping in SB with some very strong hands here. I sometimes make that play with AKo or suited or AA with only BB or one limper. Beavis said there were very few cards you want to see on the turn. There are alot of cards I wouldn't have been thrilled to see. The 9 spades, of course, the remaining 3A, 3J and 9's although necessary for my 'straight' are ties at best (1/3 of the pot for runner runner on this hand, busted if only a 9 or an A falls). The T's and Q's aren't happy cards (they bust me in this particular hand). I have 21 'safe cards'[all non-spades from 8-2 and both K]. It wouldn't be so bad if I knew I'd fold to any action if the 9-A scare cards fell, but I'm not that type of player so far and wouldn't have put both villiains on a straits. My reason for posting this hand is to find out how many (if any) fold this type of hand here(to a flop bet). Not necessarily all the time but if at all, how often?
I agree about raising the flop if you play the hand. What if one or both are agg and I get (nightmare scenario) reraise and cap? I'm not sure I fold here but long term is that the correct play? Do you continue? If you just get called by one or both(back on the flop raise) and a blank falls on the turn you have to lead out to protect your hand, I think. What happens if you get raised there(on turn) or raised and reraised? The simple answer is 'that's why it's called gambling' and of course that is true but if we are going to be 'selectively aggressive' we have to pick our spots. How good a spot is TPLK on a board with a medium dangerous flop texture?
EP held QJ while SB had JT with one spade. 5d was the turn and 2c was the river so if I had played my TP holds up. After the flop once my opponents hole cards are figured in I'm 45.6% to win and .6% to tie according to Pokerstove.
My luck is so bad that if I bought a cemetery, people
would stop dying.
~Ed Furgol