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25NL - Gross Hand - Live Poker Forums

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25NL - Gross Hand

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25NL - Gross Hand

Postby bdon22 » Wed Nov 14, 2007 1:38 am

Opponent is 73/13/4 over 300 datamined hands

I'm getting like 4:1 here but I don't think I'm winning this 20% of the time. Thoughts? Shove turn? This is actually my first big hand against this guy so I don't have any reads other than the given stats.

$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($29.85)
CO ($37.35)
BTN ($27.35)
SB ($29.40)
Hero ($25.00)

Pre-flop: ($0.35, 5 players) Hero is BB [Tc][Ts]
1 fold, CO calls $0.25, BTN raises to $1.1, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.85, CO calls $0.85

Flop: [2d][Td][4d] ($3.4, 3 players)
Hero bets $4, 1 fold, BTN calls $4

Turn: [5s] ($11.4, 2 players)
Hero bets $10, BTN calls $10

River: [Ad] ($31.4, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN goes all-in $12.25, Hero folds

Final Pot: $31.40

BTN wins $42.1 ( won +$14.75 )
CO lost -$1.10
Hero lost -$15.10
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Postby JimmyJet » Wed Nov 14, 2007 3:53 am

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Postby Danhdan » Wed Nov 14, 2007 6:58 pm

I think you should reraise preflop. This guy is really really bad according to those stats. Also, I think I shove turn based off his ability to probably call you here with a draw or maybe just an overpair w/o a diamond or even a crappy board pair with no redraw.

I probably CR the flop here, considering his aggression is 4 and I'm happy to get it in on the flop and turn of course.

Getting 4-1, I think this is a marginal call, but probably not a bad one over the long haul. This guy could have hit his ace on the river for top pair.
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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Nov 14, 2007 7:01 pm

I can't possibly fold this.
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Postby bdon22 » Wed Nov 14, 2007 7:35 pm

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