by shamdonk » Sat Apr 12, 2008 9:14 am
PF with his stats lead me to believe you can eliminate any real strong hands from his range on the flop. His range is now composed mostly of weaker hands.
A9s, A8-A2s, A9o, KQ, KJ, KT, K9, QJ, QT, Q9, JT, J8s, T9, T8, 89, 78, 86, 88-22. Then offsuit trash.
Flop: A9, A4, KQ, KJ, K9, KT, 44, J8s, 78s, 67s, 86s. AXs. The first few I assume he c/cs mostly and leads the others starting at 44.
Turn: With stack sizes he now needs to build a pot with any flush that got there and any set (44). A9/A4 are not leading here, so his updated range should/could be KQ, KJ, KT, K9, 44, J8s, 78s, 67s, 86s, Axs.
River: 44, K9, KQ, 78s, J8s, 67s, 86s, AXs.
River: You are checking down this part of YOUR range as how this hand played out.
Q9, J9, T9, As4, QQ, JJ, TT A9. Again probably thinly value betting the later listings.
Your hand can be as strong as Qxs ldo, and KQ. Since these are the very top of you range , folding them is very very very exploitable. There has to be a point where you draw the line game theory wise, where you will fold X part of your range and Y you are calling. Since this is the very top of your range, call.
Be glad your opponents refuse to fold; if they didn't, you just might go broke.
(9:00:09 PM) GodlikeRoy: i think you could prolly post total shit for the next 2 years aaaaand like 192 days and you'll still be considered 'posting good' cause of your threads that'll never be seen thread