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Postby Triple B » Wed Nov 07, 2007 10:44 am

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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Nov 07, 2007 11:04 am

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Postby hard2tel » Wed Nov 07, 2007 11:47 am

"But meh, what I lack for in talent and intelligence I make up for in lack of ambition." -- Oatmealforxmas

- make more than xaston and roy
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Postby RedBarracuda » Wed Nov 07, 2007 12:14 pm

Image
(6:35:48 PM) giantgrwth: I once beat up an attempted murderer, 25% true story
(6:35:59 PM) hard2tel45s: boxing?
(6:36:06 PM) giantgrwth: Yea
(6:36:14 PM) hard2tel45s: sweet
(6:36:30 PM) giantgrwth: He was my best friend too, lol
(6:36:48 PM) hard2tel45s: well u were in the crazy bin bro
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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Nov 07, 2007 12:51 pm

I'm pretty much indifferent, actually. I think my pot equity+FE makes this +EV in a vacuum, but it's also ++++EV because this is my 'set' line too. So if he calls me down with KQ type hands, then he'll pay off my sets.
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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Nov 07, 2007 1:20 pm

Okay, some math. I'm putting him on AA/KK/AK/KQ/KJ which gives me 26% equity. I have 72 left and the pot is 60. We're trying to figure out what sort of FE I need to make this +EV. Obv if I bet like I did, we can just assume that the stacks are going in no matter what.

So, if the $ goes in, I'm getting 132:72 = 1.83:1 = 35%

So, I need only have 9% fold equity for this to be netural EV. I think that I certainly get him to fold more than 1/11 AND this sets up my set hands to get paid off.
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Postby DoctorHandles » Wed Nov 07, 2007 7:38 pm

The better player should win the race. Always.
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Postby DoctorHandles » Wed Nov 07, 2007 7:50 pm

The better player should win the race. Always.
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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Nov 07, 2007 7:53 pm

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Postby DoctorHandles » Wed Nov 07, 2007 8:06 pm

The better player should win the race. Always.
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Postby Ojingo » Wed Nov 07, 2007 8:30 pm

Pot on the turn is $60, with $70 effectively behind. Checkraising the turn doesn't seem the way to go.
It really looks like he has a king, so it comes down to how much FE you think you have. If there is any, just bet whatever you'd bet with a set or 2pr.
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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Nov 07, 2007 10:09 pm

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Postby Xaston » Wed Nov 07, 2007 10:17 pm

Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Nov 07, 2007 10:20 pm

If I had 100% pot odds but 50% card odds, that means I'd need 1:1 to call, but I'm getting 2:1 so it's a snap call.
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Postby DoctorHandles » Wed Nov 07, 2007 10:24 pm

The better player should win the race. Always.
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