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Analyze my stats - Live Poker Forums

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Analyze my stats

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Analyze my stats

Postby iceman5 » Wed Jan 30, 2008 10:45 am

So here are most of my relevant stats for the last 19 days of $1/$2 NL 6 max at FTP and Cake. I couldnt be happier with results, but theres always room for improvement. Im sure some will say Im too passive preflop, but my post flops aggression numbers are pretty damned aggressive. Maybe I play better post flop than preflop?

My percentage for continuaton betting seems low. I think Ive been checking against 2 opponents too often. HU I CB most flops.

Anyway...here you go...

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Postby Twelver » Wed Jan 30, 2008 12:35 pm

Mekos King (10:21:59 PM): one of the first rules of manlaw
Mekos King (10:22:06 PM): is never ever try to suck backup to a bitch
Mekos King (10:22:09 PM): who caught u cheatin
Mekos King (10:22:23 PM): unless your married and would lose like money inna divorce
Mekos King (10:22:33 PM): then u suckup just long enuf to get close enough to killer obv

Heat517163 (5:05:37 PM): black people man
Heat517163 (5:05:40 PM): they travel in packs
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Postby iceman5 » Wed Jan 30, 2008 12:51 pm

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Postby NorthView » Wed Jan 30, 2008 1:14 pm

Mon May 12, 2008 1:46 am
When I play a patient and relaxed game I win - that simple.

Mon May 12, 2008 10:55 pm
Seriously, fuck poker.
==================================================================

[21:03] NorthViewBTP: mac is a fellow mexican
[21:03] Mekosking: yup
[21:03] NorthViewBTP: you should support your bro
[21:03] Mekosking: therefore hes a fat worthless tsr obv
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Postby Aisthesis » Wed Jan 30, 2008 3:23 pm

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Postby GodlikeRoy » Wed Jan 30, 2008 3:56 pm

Poker is silly.

It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.

Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.

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Postby RedBarracuda » Wed Jan 30, 2008 4:20 pm

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(6:35:48 PM) giantgrwth: I once beat up an attempted murderer, 25% true story
(6:35:59 PM) hard2tel45s: boxing?
(6:36:06 PM) giantgrwth: Yea
(6:36:14 PM) hard2tel45s: sweet
(6:36:30 PM) giantgrwth: He was my best friend too, lol
(6:36:48 PM) hard2tel45s: well u were in the crazy bin bro
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Postby Xaston » Wed Jan 30, 2008 4:41 pm

Folded BB to Steal
Folded SB to Steal

Both seem a bit high

Att to steal blind
Won$ when saw flop
PTBB/100
Pre flop raise %
River Aggression

All seem a little low.

P.S. I just kinda compared it to my last 15k hands. I don't really know much about PT numbers at all.

P.P.S. Won at showdown is obviously high but not something you really wanna consciously try to change. And PTBB/100 is obviously the same, but given that ridiculous of a won at showdown I think you should definitely be winning maybe like 11 PTBB/100 or so.
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Postby Cooper » Wed Jan 30, 2008 5:25 pm

I think your stats are pretty much perfect for 200NL Cake where players are rather loose PF(an interesting thing i noticed compared to my stats is that 60% of my raises there are no flop / no action compared to your 50% but that is probably because 400NL at Ongame is tighter PF and I play at 21/18/4)

I'm sure you know this but you should probably get up your PFR% when (if) you continue back to 400NL+.

Very solid, Nh.
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Re: Analyze my stats

Postby Big_Leon » Wed Jan 30, 2008 5:49 pm

The older you get, the more rules they are going to try and get you to follow. You just gotta keep on livin', man. L-I-V-I-N. - Wooderson

Personally I just assume everyone sucks until they show otherwise. - Nortonesque
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Postby iceman5 » Wed Jan 30, 2008 6:11 pm

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Postby Triple B » Wed Jan 30, 2008 11:26 pm

Something is seriously wrong with the last part of your stats. It shows that nobody ever folded to any of your river bets or raises, which is very screwed up.

Still...here are some thoughts:

I disagree with Xaston that your folded blinds to steals are too high. They look fine to me, bit I'm a lot tighter than Xas is.

Attempt to steal could be higher, but its OK. Its actually a lot higher than I would expect from a 11% PFR guy. This, coupled with how tight you are in the blinds must mean you limp a lot in EP, which is bad IMO. I mean, its probably fine against your opposition but is terrible against good players.

Won $ when saw flop is fine too considering your stationy opposition, although its inflated by your high W$@SD so maybe it should be higher.

I agree that your PTBB/100 is good but should be higher given your opposition and high W$@SD.
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Postby iceman5 » Thu Jan 31, 2008 5:22 am

The Cake HHs arent perfect. Some of the numbers are definatley a bit strange. although Im not sure which ones your referring to here.
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Postby iceman5 » Thu Jan 31, 2008 5:50 am

I have to admit that Im surprised that Im getting comments that my win rate should be higher. I dont think its possible to be all that much higher than 9. At least Ive never done it long term at $200NL or higher and I dont remember seeing more than 1 or 2 other people over 10 with a significant sample.

Im ecstatic with my win rate. I dont have enough hands on anyone to get a true win rate but when I look at the top 15 or so regulars in my database (some of who I cant seem to beat) and avg all their hands together to get a large sample, the avg is about 7.5.
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Postby GodlikeRoy » Thu Jan 31, 2008 6:55 am

The comments on your winrate are based off the fact that your W$SD is so high and that you're playing against worse players.

You have a 61% W$SD and a winrate of 9ptbb/100.

Take Xaston and my own 6max stats for comparison:

Over his last 15k hands he is running at like 7ptbb/100 with a W$SD of 53%.

Over my last 18k hands I'm running at 6.25ptbb/100 with a W$SD of 51%.

I think all of our winrates are pretty high (compared to average, or even compared to the average winning player) but you have to factor in the small sample size for this.
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