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bluffing the turn, bluffing the turn ($100NL 6-max) - Live Poker Forums

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bluffing the turn, bluffing the turn ($100NL 6-max)

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bluffing the turn, bluffing the turn ($100NL 6-max)

Postby ua1176 » Wed Apr 04, 2007 9:48 pm

$100NL 6-max @ FT

relatively tight/unimaginative player opens to $5 UTG. UTG+1 just posted his blind but folds i call in CO w/ 22. $100 effective stacks.

flop: [9h][8h][5c]
pot: $12

he bets $10, i wait a few seconds and call.

turn: [9d]
pot: $32

he bets $26. i wait a few seconds and shove. its $60-ish for him to call and the pot is $140 or so after i shove.

i dont think he raises preflop with any hand with a 9 in it. so how frequently do you think he folds overpairs here getting over 2:1? ever?

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Postby k3nt » Thu Apr 05, 2007 9:29 am

Me no likey. FPS. Tight/unimaginative player has a big pair here. Trying to make typical folks fold big pairs = -EV. I want a read that he's weak-tight postflop.
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Postby droqqa » Thu Apr 05, 2007 9:36 am

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Postby Zmej » Thu Apr 05, 2007 11:18 am

With this draw heavy board a thinking player would call you quite often putting you on a draw. It also seems to me that if you play all your PP this way your bluffing frquency will be too high.

All-in-all I think it is -EV bluffing spot.

P.S. If you posted this hand from your opponent point of view (assu;ing he had TT) you would get a better feedback.
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Postby iceman5 » Thu Apr 05, 2007 11:36 am

Most people at $100 NL dont fold overpairs

Most people dont push when they have a 9 and turn a second 9

People assume you are on a flush draw when you call the flop bet and theres a flush draw available.

I dont like it.
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Postby shamdonk » Thu Apr 05, 2007 12:11 pm

Be glad your opponents refuse to fold; if they didn't, you just might go broke.


(9:00:09 PM) GodlikeRoy: i think you could prolly post total shit for the next 2 years aaaaand like 192 days and you'll still be considered 'posting good' cause of your threads that'll never be seen thread
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Postby black_knight6 » Thu Apr 05, 2007 2:45 pm

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Postby excession » Thu Apr 05, 2007 3:35 pm

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Postby black_knight6 » Thu Apr 05, 2007 4:26 pm

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Postby ua1176 » Thu Apr 05, 2007 11:09 pm

Last edited by ua1176 on Thu Apr 05, 2007 11:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby ua1176 » Thu Apr 05, 2007 11:10 pm

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Postby Schuster » Thu Apr 05, 2007 11:11 pm

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Postby ua1176 » Thu Apr 05, 2007 11:27 pm

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Postby excession » Fri Apr 06, 2007 5:36 am

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Postby Johnny Hughes » Sat Apr 07, 2007 5:42 am

I'd call you with an overpair. It's like Ice said:

Most people dont push when they have a 9 and turn a second 9

You don't go around bluffing at people you think have an overpair.

You can run off AK Hearts. He doesn't have a nine.
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