Hand 1 :

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (6 handed) from (Format: Bet The Pot)

CO ($431)
Button ($388)
SB ($731.80)
BB ($862.90)
UTG ($240)
Hero ($405.50)

Preflop: Hero is MP with , . UTG posts a blind of $4.
UTG (poster) checks, Hero raises to $20, CO calls $20, 2 folds, BB calls $16, UTG folds.

Flop: ($66) , , (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $58, CO folds, BB raises to $842.90,
Hero? opponent is decent 25/10/2 over 300 hand iam 95% sure he's got a combo draw here so shall i call or fold?


Hand 2 :
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (5 handed)

Button ($200.50)
SB ($332)
BB ($204)
UTG ($480)
Hero ($502)

Preflop: Hero is MP with , .
UTG raises to $12, Hero raises to $48, 3 folds, UTG calls $36.

Flop: ($102) , , (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $72, UTG raises to $432,
Hero ? Opponent is pretty weak 48/7/2 over 80 hands

Hand1. Here I would call, because it's likely that a large partof his range is made of x[s] and x[s]
that you heavily dominate. (Though if he plays all his sets and 2 pairs like tha, which I doubt, fold is better.)

Hand2. Instafold. His range is JT, sets, KK, may be straight draw.t

iam curious in hand 2, do you see a lot of people playing set like that? as for the SD i most likely hold 2 of his outs in my hand.

PS : i though you were advocating stacking off with AA on a reraise pot like always?

Hand 1 is a must call. Because of the other preflop caller, the pot has too much dead money to fold.

Pot is $66 + 58 + 327 (what's left in your stack when he pushes) = $451

Say he has T[s] 9[s] so he's a 56% favorite. EV is 44% of $451 minus 56% of the 327 it takes to call. That's +EV of 15.

Hand #1 isnt a must call. Using your math , T-Rod, its only +$15 EV. Thats if the guy has a combo draw. OP said he was 95% sure it was a combo draw. WHats the other 5%? Probably a set trying to get called by AK or AA because it look slike a combo draw. Add in the 5% when your crushed and Its probably slightly -EV to call.

Over all, I would say its probably neutral EV. I would fold unless the guy has done this enough for me to think there is some chance he has KQ or some other hands that I dominate.

Hand #2 is an easy call for me.

Hand 2... shouldn't your reraise be a bit more to deny odds for a set?