by Rhound50 » Sat Jan 22, 2005 5:15 pm
The metods desribed by Doyle Brunson in super system are some of the most misunderstood in poker. I have seen a a bunch of people online call a raise heads up with suited connectors flop two pair and thank Doyle for his wisdom. These people completely misunderstood the book. This is very similar to what you are asking about. In most games if someone raises your flop bet 4x most likely they are going to be pot committed leaving only a very small chance that they will fold if you reraise all in. So lets looks at the odds. If you up against top pair (not an A) you have 12 outs, so you are looking at between 48%-40% chance to win the hand, this is assuming your ace is live. If they have AA you are on a simple flush draw 36% to win. If you are up against two pair or a set you are 26%- 36% chance to win the hand. Based on these odds I would not use this play all to often unless you are playing someone you think you can push off their hand. The only time I would make this play would be with AKs when i thought both my cards were live, or if I make top pair and the nut flush draw.
"Its a pink handbag not backpack damn it." Godlikeroy
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