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Fold bottom set on scary board/turn? -- .25/.5 NL FR - Live Poker Forums

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Fold bottom set on scary board/turn? -- .25/.5 NL FR

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Fold bottom set on scary board/turn? -- .25/.5 NL FR

Postby Ichoi » Tue Nov 21, 2006 3:15 pm

This is full tilt, 9 handed .25/.5 NL. No numbers, my only read is that he's a fairly average player, haven't seen him get out of line in the 20 minutes I've been playing.

I have [9s] [9c]

UTG+1 Raises to $2, I call right behind him, everyone else folds.

Effective stacks $52

Pot [$4.75]

Flop: [9h] [Th] [Ks]
he checks, I bet $4, he calls.

Turn: [9h] [Th] [Ks] [Ah] [Pot 12.75]
he checks, I bet $10, he min raises.
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Postby DoctorHandles » Tue Nov 21, 2006 4:13 pm

The better player should win the race. Always.
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Postby adamh » Tue Nov 21, 2006 6:07 pm

mets better step it up
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Postby Danhdan » Wed Nov 22, 2006 4:43 am

This is one of the ugliest boards for a set I've seen in a while. That minraise is scary and he has a big hand, although he could easily have A [Kh] here. I call the turn. I am still not sure what to do after I call and ___ hits the river though. A 4th heart makes this an easy fold if he bets, I'm also not wild about any Q, J, or paired board unless it's the [9d]. I'm probably trying to keep the pot small on this one...no raise even if the board pairs. Wow, that is weak tight...maybe if a ten comes I feel better about calling a push.

9 or 10. A blank doesn't seem too wonderful either, but I'm still calling a push on the river if the blank hits.
"Million dollar play, ten cent finish."

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Postby Stoneburg » Wed Nov 22, 2006 4:48 am

He has a bigger set.
Image
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Postby Danhdan » Wed Nov 22, 2006 5:05 am

"Million dollar play, ten cent finish."

"My mind is a raging torrent, flooded with rivulets of thought cascading into a waterfall of creative alternatives."

"Laugh and the world stares at you; cry, and the world stares at you."
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Postby Ichoi » Wed Nov 22, 2006 9:20 am

At the time I was really thinking he had KK, and by the small size of his raise, probably with the heart. No other hand made sense to me.. maybe [Qh] [Jh] but that felt like a long shot.

But being a relatively inexperienced NL player I decided "ah screw it, it's only .25/.5 he might be getting stupid on me" and shoved.

He had KK with the [Kh] and I immediately wish I just went with my read and folded.

edit: River was the [6c]
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