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Leading with a gutshot 3-way (NL$100 6-max) - Live Poker Forums

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Leading with a gutshot 3-way (NL$100 6-max)

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Leading with a gutshot 3-way (NL$100 6-max)

Postby DoctorHandles » Mon Mar 10, 2008 1:27 am

UTG is a good regular who runs at 25/20. SB is not good but not spewy/retarded of anything.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Converter Tool from (Format: Bet The Pot)

CO ($84.65)
Button ($38.10)
SB ($56.50)
Hero ($106.90)
UTG ($134.85)
MP ($100.15)

Preflop: Hero is BB with [Ks], [Qd].
UTG raises to $3.5, 3 folds, SB calls $3, Hero calls $2.50.

Flop: ($10.50) [Ts], [9h], [4h] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8

I would lead a set here always and I think my line looks strong enough that the UTG will screw around with my lead about 0% of the time (he'll raise a flush draw obviously though). I think UTG has to fold like 60-70% of his range here and I have position + a good draw against the SB, who folds often on the flop as well.

Thoughts?
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Postby Semillon » Mon Mar 10, 2008 1:29 am

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Postby Triple B » Mon Mar 10, 2008 1:31 am

I like it a lot against the players you describe.

If either were spewy or stationy then I wouldn't like it nearly as much.
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Postby DoctorHandles » Mon Mar 10, 2008 1:32 am

Thoughts on the squeezing preflop B^3?
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Postby Triple B » Mon Mar 10, 2008 1:40 am

My thoughts are I would fold this preflop more often than I would squeeze it. I might call occasionally though. If it was suited I would like the call a lot more.

My problem with squeezing with this hand is it can get you into trouble postflop if you are called. I would rather you squeeze with a better hand for value or with a hand you would otherwise fold (as a bluff). Plus, the UTG raiser doesn't make this an ideal spot.

I guess the bottom line is if you feel it is profitable to just call here with KQ, then I would not squeeze it and ruin that.
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