by Stoneburg » Fri Feb 08, 2008 10:38 am
Fold flop in hand #1? Against a 70% vpip player who bets like 90% of flops? Surely you jest.
Hand #2, it just looks retarded to miniraise preflop and then push a paired flop. Yes it could be 77-99, but it could also be overcards and Ax. What it can't be is a 4 or 66. So if I am behind, I have 5 outs (more if he has 22, 33 or 55), if I am ahead he probably just has 3 outs (with Ax where x > 6). Frankly I think it will be overcards more often than a PP.
Hand #3 I don't have much rationale, I just "felt" like he was bluffing. He knows that flop is unlikely to hit me. I think he's thinking on level 1, so I think on level 2. "If he thinks I have nothing and bets, then he has nothing". I think a strong hand (tywo-pair, set, straight) will check/raise here. I'm mainly worried about a 9 beating me, but I think he has draws (flush or str8) and overcards often too.