This one is probably a simple answer type one.
Button is slightly loose and aggressive (31/13)
I usually don't like to do this on paired boards, but I felt an aggressive player on the button had a large enough range that it might be +EV to push here.
Turns out he had a big hand and insta-called. But I'm kinda still liking my play here despite the results because of fold equity + pot size. (I had 11 outs on the flop and even picked up 2 more on the turn)
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
8 players
Converted at
Stacks:
UTG ($29.50)
UTG+1 ($11.15)
MP1 ($24.30)
MP2 ($55.00)
Hero ($51.15)
BTN ($75.95)
SB ($44.75)
BB ($56.95)
Pre-flop: ($0.75, 8 players) Hero is CO [7h]
UTG calls $0.5 ($29.00), UTG+1 calls $0.5 ($10.65), MP1 calls $0.5 ($23.80), 1 fold, Hero calls $0.5 ($50.65), BTN raises to $2.5 ($73.45), 2 folds, UTG folds ($29.00), UTG+1 calls $2 ($8.65), MP1 folds ($23.80), Hero calls $2 ($48.65)
31.60% (EV = $0.42)
68.40% (EV = $3.83)
Flop: [6h][Th] ($9.25, 3 players)
UTG+1 checks ($8.65), Hero checks ($48.65), BTN bets $4.5 ($68.95), UTG+1 folds ($8.65), Hero goes all-in $48.65 ($0.00), BTN calls $44.15 ($24.80)
40.80% (EV = -$5.18)
59.20% (EV = $14.43)
Turn: ($106.55, 2 players)
29.50% (EV = $31.43)
70.50% (EV = $75.12)
River: ($106.55, 2 players)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
100.00% (EV = $106.55)
Final Pot: $106.55
Hero shows: [7h]
BTN shows: [Qd]
BTN wins $103.55 ( won +$52.4 )
UTG lost -$0.50
UTG+1 lost -$2.50
MP1 lost -$0.50
Hero lost -$51.15