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Overpair faces extreme aggression from halfy (NL $100 6-Max) - Live Poker Forums

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Overpair faces extreme aggression from halfy (NL $100 6-Max)

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Overpair faces extreme aggression from halfy (NL $100 6-Max)

Postby DoctorHandles » Mon Dec 18, 2006 6:04 pm

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $100.00
UTG+1: $132.45
CO: $35.30
Hero: $101.00
SB: $128.35
BB: $65.90

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with [8h] [8s]
2 folds, CO calls, Hero raises to $5, SB folds, BB calls, CO calls.

Flop: [7c] [6d] [7h] ($15.5, 3 players)
BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $13, [color=#cc0000]BB raises all-in $60.9.

Is this a bluff, PP lower than mine, or draw enough to make this call profitable?

What can he really have here? Do short stacks play 7's that quickly?

*Extra Credit* If this is a fold, could I call if the board had a flush draw on it? (two of a suite)
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Postby Ojingo » Mon Dec 18, 2006 6:53 pm

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Postby SinkRox » Mon Dec 18, 2006 7:32 pm

Grinding 200nl 5max. Experimenting.
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Postby GodlikeRoy » Mon Dec 18, 2006 7:50 pm

I think this is pretty close, meaning the EV in calling and folding isn't largely different. I can't really decide which is better tbh. This is a very easy call with a higher PP (QQ+) and a very easy fold with anything worse than 88. I think my curiousity would get the better of me (and the huge amount of discredit I give to shortstacks would help make the decision).
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Postby adamh » Mon Dec 18, 2006 11:08 pm

mets better step it up
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Postby epidemic » Tue Dec 19, 2006 6:37 am

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Postby Roy Batty » Tue Dec 19, 2006 6:50 am

The fish must flow...
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Postby Zmej » Tue Dec 19, 2006 7:15 am

First I thought to agree with Roy, now I think it is a clear fold.

Board is not very draw heavy, and what's important, CO was still to act after BB CR AI, it gives additional credit to his hand. He very rarely bluffs here, I would estimate that he beats you with overpair or a 7 about 80% of time, and has a draw the other 20%.
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Postby Roy Batty » Tue Dec 19, 2006 7:27 am

The fish must flow...
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Postby Yliherra » Tue Dec 19, 2006 7:47 am

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