by Rhound50 » Wed Dec 13, 2006 3:32 am
Dev I know I'm a donk but I dont think leading that turn card it to terrible, the flop is pretty meaningless and there is a decent enough chance that I actually have the best hand on the turn. This seems like a pretty crappy board to slow play trips or an overpair on unless you flopped eight full or sevens full. I had planned to bet the turn in my head if any no-flush small card hit and the 4 was perfect.
Here is why I disagree with you dev on the river bet. This guy is a calling station so he either has a draw, an 8, or a boat. If he has a draw it doesnt matter either way calling stations dont usually make river bluffs, so I'm not getting anymore money out of him either way. If he has an eight or 66, 55 or AX he possibily pays off $40 into a $100 pot. If he has a full house he is going to raise and I can easily fold the hand, I am not really to afraid of the getting outplayed by another 4, first off he is passive, 2nd off he has no way to know that I dont have a 7 so it is a tough raise. If I check the river and he has a 7 it cost me a minimum of $40 possibly more. So by betting I lose the same amount if he has a 7, dont have to show my hand if he missed a draw, but can possibily get paid off with a couple hands.
Results: I bet $40, he raises all in. I turn over my 4, his eyes instantly flash down to my chips and it becomes the worlds easiest fold.
"Its a pink handbag not backpack damn it." Godlikeroy
"From playing full tilt I wanna smash every garden gnome I see. That travelocity commercial puts me on instant tilt."