^^^^

xaston is the guy with the gun obv...monsters under the bed are scared of him..

Okay, can someone PLEASE CHECK MY MATH

The pfr has the SPR (Stack to Pot Ratio) = 2.33

His range that will stack off is: KK-77, AdKd, AdQd, KdQd, QdJd, T9, J9, 96

His calling range is KK-22, AK, AQ, KQ, QJ, T9, J9, 96 (I know some are very unlikely, but I put them in just for simplicity to help with calculating how I fare when I get it in).

His calling range = 13.6% of hands.
His stacking-off range = 4.2% of hands.

So, 69% of the time, he'll call and fold to a flop bet (assuming ZERO bluffing).
and 31% of the time, he'll call and get it in somehow (on flop or turn).

The 69% of the time he calls and folds to my CB, I win $36.
0.69*36 = $24.84
The 31% of the time he calls and stacks off, I win 120 (pot plus the 84 left) 36.2%, lose 84 (what remains in my stack) 63.8%.
0.31*0.362*120 = $13.47
0.31*0.638*84 = -$16.61

The sum of 24.84+13.47-16.61 = $21.70

So, betting and stacking off no matter what nets me $21.70 every time.



Did I do that right? The percentages are correct, as are the products/sums, but am I correct to say that when we're all in and I win, I win 120 (his 84 plus the 36 pot)? And when I lose, I only lose what I have left? Or, do I have to say that each time I win 100 and lose 100??

THANKS!

If I change the win/lose to both 100, the sum is +$16.28 so stacking off is still correct.