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Too weak?

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Too weak?

Postby epidemic » Thu Mar 22, 2007 4:39 am

Opponent was running at 24/18/3.(200 hands) I had 3 bet him twice in quick succession preflop with AK but I missed the flop both times and he put in sizable raises of my CB forcing me to fold. He seemed like a good player, alot better than average anyway

Hand in question its limped around and i check in the BB

Poker Room skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
4 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $46.05
Button: $36
SB: $201
epidemic: $115.90

Pre-flop: (4 players) epidemic is BB with [9h] [Qs]
UTG folds, Button calls, SB calls, epidemic checks.

Flop: [Qh] [9s] [Jc] ($3, 3 players)
SB bets $2.5, epidemic raises to $8, Button calls, SB raises to $20.5, epidemic folds, Button calls.

Turn: [Ts] ($52, 2 players)
SB bets $15, Button calls all-in $14.5.
Uncalled bets: $0.5 returned to SB.

River: [Ks] ($52, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $52)


Results:
Final pot: $52

I thought with the history i very nearly 4 bet him here with the intention of pushing the turn but i thought nah and folded after a long think.

I could discount sets he raises 18% of hands and would certainly raise PF with 99 QQ JJ AQ and likely KQ so i figured im against the str8, QJ, Q9 J9 or a hand with a 10 in it. I discounted the 10 hand i dont think hed reraise me which leaves 1 hand im ahead of J9 and i did not want to commit a large portion of my stack to find out.

Is this analysis right or is this just too weak?
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Postby Danhdan » Thu Mar 22, 2007 2:50 pm

I believe on the flop I am pushing this. I believe this guy could be doing this with a draw. Also, since he thinks he can push you around, probably reraising you here with just a Queen is standard at this point.
"Million dollar play, ten cent finish."

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"Laugh and the world stares at you; cry, and the world stares at you."
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Postby Zmej » Thu Mar 22, 2007 3:03 pm

"#3 pencils and quadrille pads."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when asked what CAD tools he used to design the Cray I supercomputer; he also recommended using the back side of the pages so that the grid lines were not so dominant.

"Interesting - I use a Mac to help me design the next Cray."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when he was told that Apple Inc. had recently bought a Cray supercomputer to help them design the next Mac.
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Postby geiststaat » Thu Mar 22, 2007 3:13 pm

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Postby soop » Thu Mar 22, 2007 3:50 pm

Nice fold in the heat of the moment. That is totally a milk bet.
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Postby iceman5 » Thu Mar 22, 2007 4:48 pm

iceman5 [As]
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Postby droqqa » Thu Mar 22, 2007 5:09 pm

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Postby epidemic » Fri Mar 23, 2007 4:22 am

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Postby Danhdan » Fri Mar 23, 2007 4:40 am

"Million dollar play, ten cent finish."

"My mind is a raging torrent, flooded with rivulets of thought cascading into a waterfall of creative alternatives."

"Laugh and the world stares at you; cry, and the world stares at you."
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