Villain in this hand is your typical nit that plays 15/12 but at same time im not sure what his utg limp means. Its most likely PP and sometimes AJ/AQ? So my image is even worse than usual, i was playing some 21/19 and trying to steal every pot when i was sure that villain had only 1 pair hand..Even if it meant 3 barreling. Anyhow..So this guy was getting pissed off, he CR me on turn on other table when i was double barreling him and since i hand no pair no outs i just let it go but i wrote in chat nice bluff and he showed it(we were btw 2 stacks deep there). Anyhow, my PF raise here is somewhat marginal, but I am forced to do raise these hands especially against nits that limp utg to protect my big pairs from being set mined.
$3/$6 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at
Stacks:
UTG ($2005.70)
CO ($660.00)
BTN ($229.00)
Hero ($689.25)
BB ($1019.00)
Pre-flop: ($9, 5 players) Hero is SB [Qd]
2 folds, BTN calls $6, Hero raises to $33, BB calls $30, BTN folds
t part.
Flop: [Kd][Qs] ($78, 2 players)
Hero bets $60, BB calls $60
So this is a nice flop..I am willing to throw my stack in there..I'm only behind 88 and he shouldn't be able to have a higher draw since i hold both Q and J of diamonds(so no AQd AJd possible besides ATd so we can assume i have NUT FD. And now he just calls. This is mega weakness, I suspect a draw, maybe a stubborn PP such as JJ or TT but i think he should be raising those UTG, while my range has hit this flop hard for most part so he should be folding most PP's.
Turn: ($198, 2 players)
Hero bets $135, BB goes all-in $923, Hero goes all-in $458.25
Ok..and now all hell brakes loose.. This is in my opinion the 1st mistake I make.. actually im not sure..I cant put him on a hand. On flop im sure he doesn't have two pair or a set. If im considering the possibility that he is just calling here to bluff me or has a lower draw I should plan to CRAI turn. However, I decide to lead(more like donkbet) because im not sure if im valuebetting or bluffing here. So i bet and see the worst case scenario..He pushes. Given the action he should have here AQ JT and random bluff maybe 10%-20% of time? Only 2 hands that beat me are JT and AQ and both hands are unlikely since I hold 1 face card for each combination. So I need to call 458 to win 928 which is close to 1:2 So i need some 33% equity while I only have 24-25% vs AQs, JTs. So i need him to bluff here 8% of time. Given all of this. how would you play turn. C/C or CRAI? Give the above range we are WA/WB since we beat bluffs and are behind 2 pair of AQ and nuts of JTs
River: ($1714.25, 2 players)
[Results Hidden]
P.S.
Would betting 5+1 for each limper in SB and BB be over excessive? Or even 5,5+1? I know its only 3$ difference but still..3$ here means he will usually need to earn 50$ more post flop w set