Hot gf ftw?

I had a real icky session last night. It started by me busting on the 5th or so hand of the satellite tourny I spoke of two or three posts ago, FD+overs missing vs TPTK. No rebuy thank you Mr Betfred, if I can't make that flip I won't make anymore.

I fired up 6 tables of $50NL and was swonging like I have done since the start of the year, when I went on a nice upswong and sat at around 10 ptbb's for the sesh, after around 800 hands. Went card dead for a bit and then made two uber donk plays and got stacked twice.

I get JJ OTB, 3 bet MP, folded back to him he calls. Flop all low rags and he check calls three streets with me shoving the river on a very ragged low board. He shows me QQ. Yuck, I really should of checked behind on the river and saved me half a stack, the guy was like, 16/8 or something. GG me.

Second one was worse, and actually makes me feel sick to think about it. It's a combination of utter retarded play and crap luck. There's a 21/18 guy two seats to my right who has just 4 bet my last three preflop 3 bets. For some reason, I decide that 3-betting him with KJo is a good idea. He pretty quickly 4 bets me, real small. What's that you hear? Alarm bells? Yes, I hear them now. It's a shame I didn't hear them at the time, as I mashed the all in button in my heroic "I'm gonna make a stand against this shit, who the fuck does he think he is" and he shows me KK, whoops. I don't suck out and decide I better quit before I monkey tilt off another 498562 buy ins.

I'm annoyed even now as I post this. KJo is possibly THE worst hand I could choose to make a superhero stand with. Sure I was unlucky that on his fourth 4 bet he had the 2nd best preflop hand in hold 'em but I really gotta stop making these mistakes.

If I ironed out these awful mistakes I think I could crush this level for 10-12 ptbb's. As it stands, retarded mistakes like this are costing me a buy in a session.

I am happy with my general play, it's just these stupid mistakes in isolation that are costing me.

Another thing, I'm pretty sure I'm running drastically short on flopped sets. It seems I have hit 35 in around 5k hands this month. How often should you flop a set?

I have some weird ass stats right now, in 5k hands I have hit 17 straights, 18 flushes and 14 boats.

I have hit 35 sets and 4 quads. All very odd.

How does this graph look to you? Standard variance or unusual swongs?

I'm getting sick of this shit now...


GAME #788993435: Texas Hold'em NL $0.25/$0.50 07-Jan-2008 23:46:28
Table Daleville
Seat 1: invict ($52.25 in chips)
Seat 3: macab ($43.99 in chips)
Seat 5: 1978jrw ($56.02 in chips) DEALER
Seat 6: yoyomamaitsaboy ($43.30 in chips)
Seat 8: sp4wn2007 ($63.95 in chips)
Seat 10: pwermetalgod ($65.55 in chips)
yoyomamaitsaboy: Post SB $0.25
sp4wn2007: Post BB $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***


Dealt to 1978jrw
pwermetalgod: Fold
invict: Fold
macab: Call $0.50
1978jrw: Raise $2.50
yoyomamaitsaboy: Fold
sp4wn2007: Fold
macab: Call $2.00

*** FLOP ***
macab: Check
1978jrw: Bet $5.00
macab: Raise $10.00
1978jrw: Call $5.00

*** TURN ***

macab: Bet $0.50
1978jrw: Raise $43.52
macab: Allin $30.99
*** RIVER ***
*** SUMMARY ***

macab shows
Total pot $97.76 Rake $3.00
macab: wins $85.73
1978jrw: wins $12.03

Yeah, he called a preflop raise out of postition with T9o and flopped the 2nd nuts and it just so happened this is against a 40/2/1 donator. Of course, I would of not gone crazy had the ace not turned up.GG poker gods.

I think I made one $40 mistake in 1833 hands tonight, and other times I find myself pushing QQ into a 75/11's AA, or flopping TPTK with AJ only for horrible players to passively call down and nail their kicker on the river. JT, FTW.

Thing is, I'm getting some PF cards, AA, KK and AK are no problem to come by.

I got dealt aces 9 times tonight. That's about right. I lost $3 with them. I got AK dealt 14 times. I lost $33 with them. I got dealt KK 9 times. Again, about right. I lost $36 with them.

Graph for this evening....










I mean, WTF is that? Look at just before 655 hands. I drop and gain almost two buy ins in around 40 hands. That's fucking insane.

I'm gonna play another 3k hands and stick some PT stats up 'cos I'm fucked if I can see why the hell 40/1 ers and 50/18 ers are raping me left right and front.

Fucking thing,

SD winnings = Blue
Total winnings = Green
Sklansky = Red

(Even) less work, more hands please

So after a lengthy discussion with Northy, I made some changes to my postflop game and the session started well, I felt better and more in control and over the first 300-400 hands I built up a buy in or so profit.

Then, I ran QQ into AA for a stack AIPF. I ran AQ into AK on a AAT board. For a stack. I run good.

So, another losing session and if this carries on, I shall have to drop down to $25NL.

I'm optimistic it won't carry on though, January is a losing month so far but only 25BB's or so, but considering it was a 4 buy in winning month a week ago it's pretty frustrating right now.

I'm am definately running down on flopped sets at the moment and when I do flop a set, it's on a very wet board 80% of the time I'd say, so there's no room for doing anything other than fastplaying them. People are hitting draws on me more than usual but this will hopefully change soon.

Varience is insane right now, swongs ftl...

The month so far;





Also NV, you know that strat we was talking about, shoving the turn when we pick up more outs? And you said the few times you have done it you have had no callers? Well the first time I did it I got called and stacked

I raise from the button after one limper, everyone folds UTG limper calls. Flop of and I raise UTG's donk bet. Turn is the and he donks and I shove and he calls with AT. Ship another ace on the river!

I still like the strat whatever happened there, just typical of me right now!