I suggest you look into how playing at different times affects your win rate. It takes some work because you not only have to look at different time slots, but you have to export different time slots of hands into a new DB so you can run it thur pokerEV and see how much of the good / bad results is luck....BUT...having said all of that, I now know that my win rate of all hands NOT played between 10AM and 4 PM is over 10 PTBBs. The Adjusted win rate of all of those hands is still 5.5 PTBBs.

Thats a sample of over 6000 hands. If I only played after 4PM and before 10AM, I would be making like $330 / hr and thats adjusted with luck factored in.

The above is iPoker only..

Overall I'm back over 5PTBB/100 now at the $100 6 max
+$915 at the tables
+$430 RB/bonus
total +$1345

9000 hands
28.5 hrs
MT ratio 4

$47/hr

OK - kids are away for the weekend and the wife and I went out for a nice meal and bottle of wine last night.

Alcohol just makes me tired these days so I was tucked up in bed at 10.30pm..

Woke up at 7am bright and breezy (and without kids)

I thought that iPoker might not be very busy (as it's a euro-site) so I had a look at Stars. OK so I had no RB/bonus there but it was really an experiment to see how badly the drunken americans were playing late on a Friday night.

The answer is pretty badly though clearly more aggressively than at iPoker. This is both good and bad for the shortstacker. It means there is less uncontested money you can pick up on the flop and as a rule you will end up losing on pots that didn't go to SD (as Ice does). But of course the increased raising pre-flop means that you can get your stack in with more of an edge against their range so you would expect the SD EV to be higher.

I run 22/12 at iPoker, at Stars I was more like 20/9..

The doomswitch was switched to 'on' from the outset. Cold decking, lost coin-flips and bad beats took me 2.5 full buy-ins down in about 40 minutes

But I knew that I was playing well and just getting unlucky so I stuck at it.

By the time the wife got up (maybe 80 minutes play or so), I had pulled it back to -$57 or so (shame no RB or it would be even closer to evens) with an adjusted EV for the session of +$25.

This is the third time I've had a 2 buy-in dowswing in 10k hands of shortstacking. I really was playing well throughout and wasn't even slighty tilted this time..I take that as a very good sign even if I would have been $57 better off if I'd just stayed in bed...

Ice is your experience similar - 2BI downers are about par for the course right? Have you had a worse one in your 10k?

As kids are away I took the opportunity to play some donkaments tonight.

Played 6 freezeouts and one Prima rebuy.

Managed 2 final tables in the 2 smaller freezouts (2nd and 7th) and finished about 30th/1260 in the Stars $55 (prize pool $62,000+). The exit was a bit sickening - some donkey called my TT push with A6s and hit runner runner A6 to knock me out after I hit set on flop. I would have been in great shape for a 3rd (and most lucrative) FT of the night, but as Roy and Xast were watching me I was pretty much bound to be doomswitched by them.



Won $150 for 7th, $550 for 2nd and about $220 for 30th at Stars total $920
Total buy ins were 3x$22, 1x $27, 1x$77 (rebuy), 1x $55, 1x$33 = $258

So profit for about 5 hrs play $662.

I guess that's ok but it was so close to being much better..

Again this is just iPoker and Stars hands (i.e. not Will Hill)


Including WH and Stars, my shortstack experiment is now

Won at tables +$882.08
Bonuses +$160
RB +$300
Total $1342.08

Total 31.8 hrs

= $42.20/hr

I have also played 5 hours of MTT's and netted +$662 ($132/hr)

Can you teach me how to win 2 1/2 times what you should be winning?

I can Ice, but it does involve a goat, a god and quite a lot of blood

I felt last night that the runer runner loss in the Stars $62k actually means I am -EV for luck this month though....(I know I got it all pre-flop but it still feels like I was runner runnered out of a big payday)

What is your handle again on Ipoker?

I used to get away from short stackers but recently I tend to come after them with a very good result. I usually put them all in before they can act and they fold almost every time. This is moslty postflop ,but I just repop them more because I know what their range is and they have trouble with that. hard to explain my strategy against them but instead of not playing them I tend to look them up nowadays.

I am running about 6 PTBB/100 after 9 K hands which is pretty simular to you. Maybe I should start SS too?

AardvarkAttack is my iPoker Tag at the moment (though of course you can have different tags on different sites - on my last iPoker site I was 'Never Tease Lions' named after the second last line in this Felix Dennis Poem

http://www.felixdennis.com/poem.php?C=29&T=35&B=3

Felix Dennis is just about a lock for the 'Greatest Living Englishman' btw (if you haven't heard of him).

As for repopping my basic tactic is to be the one to put in the all-in 3 bet so I limp a fair amount. I will raise with decent hands in LP and may drop them to you the first couple of times you 3 bet me but if you are 3 betting me lite then I will adjust pretty fast.

ok I was on two tables with you then. Thought it was you but could not make a link with that name.

OK I have completed my original test plan at iPoker for this month.

I have played just under 11k hands (about 600 at Will Hill, 600 at Stars and the rest at iPoker)

This means I have cleared 10,000 iPoker FPP points which should jump me up to 62% RB next month (32% base + 30% stepped affiliate bonus) and have raked over $600 at iPoker this month, so I get $180 from my affilate (I would have to rake $1200 to make my next affiliate bonus payment which seems like a bit too much like hard work in 12 days).


34 hrs play
at 4PTBB/100
+$873 at tables (4-tabling on average)
+$445 RB/bonuses
total +$1318

$38.76/hr


PokerEv graph (ignoring Will Hill hands) looks like:




Obviously running at 3x adjusted EV helps the win-rate a fair bit.
My adjusted win rate is $24/hr or so...

I have also found that playing 1000's of hands in the 15-25BB zone is a great help to my MTT play.

Made $662 in 5 hours of MTT's last night so my total winnings this month in 39 hrs play are $1980 at $50.76/hr.

I might take a few days off, play a couple more MTT's or some full stack play at Prima for the rest of the month.

September will be iPoker $200 short-stack month - when I shoot for 20k FPP's and the next level of RB..

I'm OK with the system but still need to get some more experience before feeling it's really down..I think 2PTBB/100 should be achievable (adjusted) really..

OK have switched to $200 and am not running as well now luck-wise

I am however starting to get the system down and find it easier amongst the more aggro $200 players:




Of course the RB and bonuses will come more quickly at $200 too...