by Aisthesis » Wed May 04, 2005 2:15 pm
Tex, here's where I'm at much more than I have been in MTTs: Play the player(s) much more, without rigid criteria regarding specific hands to raise, re-raise, etc.
All of these good strategies with which you are familiar have their place, but I think to get really good ROIs, you need to adjust them to specific situations.
A few examples: In general, more people play LAG early than they should. Correct counter-strategy? Definitely "tight is right." But not too long ago I played a $20 (can't remember whether it was SNG or big multi) where the starting table was just squeaky (I think TightWad may have been watching). I think I missed some opportunities by not trying a few LAG plays (again, CONTROL is the key!!). And, of course, when I finally did find my AA, I won very little off it.
Also, with your re-raise AK strategy. This has great value against players who will raise AJ or even AX (and they abound), and particularly against those who'll call your big raise with a hand like that. Similarly against players who will fold JJ or TT after raising it (I really DON'T want to get into coinflips for my stack early, but a dominated hand, sure).
Another example from a 2-table SNG where I finally finished 2nd. At the 25/50 level, I believe it was, I'm sitting on TT in MP and raise. Well, I already knew the player to my immediate left was LAG, and he re-raised heavily. I fold. My mistake on this hand was in my opinion actually the raise. Maybe I should have called the re-raise, but I thought the risk is just way too high that I'm looking at a coinflip for too many chips here, and any overcard is very dangerous. TT as overpair is too unlikely, I'm out of position, and any overcard could have me beat. But I'd like to see the flop on that kind of hand for any kind of "normal" raise. By the same token, I think there are even some early situations where TT could easily be worth re-raising (high fold probability from the opposition, and an attractive pot).
One final thought: I really do think the ante level makes a little more LAG profitable. Otherwise, I'm beginning to think that one should thoroughly integrate both table texture and table image into one's strategy. One of the main reasons that the old "tight play early" and "looser and more aggressive later" is a good strategy is that the foolish LAG players are simply GONE later in the tourney, hence making for a tigher field, where some looseness has its place. But I think you can get a definite edge in all this by looking more closely at the specifics of what people are doing at your own particular table. An EXTREMELY important read is the distinction between those players who want to get their stacks into the pot and those who don't. And this can change quickly as a good player's stack changes in size. This player may have been playing extremely tight and cautiously with his medium stack, but now that he's short-stacked or just tripled up to get a more secure position, he may play very differently.