by TightWad » Fri Mar 18, 2005 10:39 am
I'd actually go for a check-raise all-in; or if he checks, all-in on the turn. The alternative would be to just bet all-in. I'm not getting away from this hand, even though it's clearly not an ideal situation. Here's why I like the check-raise:
If you bet all-in, he's pretty likely to fold anything you have beaten; thus, you win a smallish pot, but it's still a decent addition to your short stack. So this isn't bad.
If you check-raise all-in, you face the same risk as betting all-in (that he has you beaten), but you may also catch him taking a stab with something like KQ and win a larger pot. If he has something like 88 or TT, he'll probably be committed to calling your check-raise, but having a chance to double through as a big-time favorite is certainly not a bad thing either!
The point is that a check-raise gives you more of a chance to win a decent pot here if you are ahead, and if you're ahead at this point, the risks of him out-drawing you seem pretty minor when compared to the rewards.
-TW