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Satellite hand - the ultimate question

Postby starstealer » Wed Mar 09, 2005 1:09 pm

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Postby TexasKowboy » Wed Mar 09, 2005 3:47 pm

If he had AK I don't see him folding. I have to put him on a big pair or KQ. But you were at the table so you would know better then I would. All I can say is don't make that play on me if I have AK at that point in the trn. Now if K9x or better flopped then I might give you the hand. But anything less and I am going to play AK.
Kowboy

If I ain't sinkin', well I must be swimin' If I ain't dead, I must be livin' Livin' is the thing, that scares me the most And if I ain't sleepin', well I better be fishin' If I ain't anchored I will be driftin' But all and all, I'm doing pretty good, since I hit my third coast!
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Postby starstealer » Wed Mar 09, 2005 3:53 pm

Well, if its a point of the 9 on the flop - I'll have to check the hand history (this is all from memory).

However, I can see him folding here for a number of reasons:

1. If he calls and loses he's sitting with 9k - with a 2k blind coming next hand.
2. If he folds, he's at 24k and still strong enough to last through the blinds
3. If he calls and wins, he's got 58k and is still 4th in chips at the table.

As to him holding AK - I suppose he might not have had it - its what he claimed to have. I guess when I read the situation - that's what I put him on - but regardless, it felt to me that the only way he could call would be with AA, KK or one of the other 2 sets (two pair were unlikely at best for him). With AK - I suppose it depends on the player, but I think I'm about 50/50 in this situation against most opponents given how close we were to the money line.

/d
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Postby TexasKowboy » Wed Mar 09, 2005 4:15 pm

Your right!

You also could have been slow playing AA and it wasn't worth finding out if you did or didn't. The MTT paid the top 9 a flat amount so moving up wasn't a big deal but moving down sure was.

In a regular MTT I would have played back at you but in one like this one I might even have to lay down AK.
Kowboy

If I ain't sinkin', well I must be swimin' If I ain't dead, I must be livin' Livin' is the thing, that scares me the most And if I ain't sleepin', well I better be fishin' If I ain't anchored I will be driftin' But all and all, I'm doing pretty good, since I hit my third coast!
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