In a situation where you say....flop the nut flush. A hand where you have the nuts and nobody else can ever have the nuts with you, unlike a straight. If someone raised and then they bet again and get a caller also on the flop, if you raise the pot here you are telegraphing you're hand. You're giving them incorrect odds to draw just about all the time, but you're basically telling them exactly what you have.
Here's an example that came up the other day.
$0.25/$0.5 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
6 players
Converted at
Stacks:
UTG ($27.60)
UTG+1 ($103.00)
CO ($39.40)
Hero ($69.65)
SB ($47.75)
BB ($79.35)
Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BTN
UTG raises to $1.75 ($25.85), 1 fold, CO calls $1.75 ($37.65), Hero calls $1.75 ($67.90), 2 folds
Flop: ($6, 3 players)
UTG bets $5.50 ($20.35), CO calls $5.50 ($32.15), Hero raises to $28 ($39.90), UTG folds ($20.35), CO folds ($32.15)
Final Pot: $22.50
Hero wins $43.90 ( won +$14.15 )
CO lost -$7.25
UTG lost -$7.25
My question is: Could it possibly be higher EV, although definitely higher variance, to not raise the pot on the flop? Either raise less to make your hand less obvious or take some other action.
Of course in these micro/low stakes games there are many more chances that you're going to run into someone that can't fold an inferior hand anyway, but for the purpose of the question would it be ok to assume that you are telling them your hand by potting it?