by Felonius_Monk » Tue Aug 16, 2005 12:13 pm
Assuming someone has precisely AA because they raised preflop is not always a good read, but I agree that it's helpful. More so, someone raising preflop almost always has big cards (why I sometimes raise 5678 and the like against good opponents), so you can semi-bluff a preflop raiser off a low flop.
Example: Yesterday I held KK65ds and raised maximum PF from LP (I'm starting to try to be more aggressive preflop on tighter tables). I got a couple of callers. Flop came 842 rainbow. Two callers checked, I bet pot. One guy raised me. However, I felt he might be making a move on me of the "he must have a high-orientated hand so I'll bluff him out of it" type. Really nice move but I felt (with 8 clean outs anyhow) I could risk it, as only a set was badly beating me (I had odds to go to the felt by the river against two pair or any sort of wrap, as I only had another small bet on top of the call); so I moved all in. My read was either that he had a set of 8s (against which I'm hardly crushed and would've nearly had odds to make the river anyhow), or some sort of wrap-type hand, maybe with 2 pair, or perhaps even a hand like 8J9T which has lots of outs on a semi-bluff, with a significant possibility of him simply making a move with a hand that I might even be favourite against. He had QQxx and called off the last $15 or so and I stacked a nice pot. But, his play was a good one nonetheless; if I hadn't had the 8 out draw to go with my (possibly winning) high pair I would've been forced to fold. In retrospect my play was probably (at best) marginal anyway, but it worked out. Sometimes you don't need a monster to win in PLO.
The Monkman J[c]
"Informer, you no say daddy me snow me Ill go blame,
A licky boom boom down.
Detective mon said daddy me snow me stab someone down the lane,
A licky boom boom down." - Snow, 1993