by MTPaid » Mon Mar 03, 2008 4:32 pm
It took me a couple of days to get to this, but good stuff.
The only points I would make, from my observations, or what's worked for me so far is that for draws and big pots, I generally look for a double draw or a draw and a decent made hand:
straight draw + 2 pair
straight draw + flush draw
flush draw + pair/2 pair
etc..
As far as flush draws, if I don't have the nut draw, I never like to be the caller. If I can't be the one raising or shoving, I don't want to play it, especially in a big pot. Still, if I have something like a 9 or T high FD + another draw/marginal made hand, I have no problem being the aggressor in a big pot because they either give me backup outs or block my opponent if they have a bigger FD.
In reference to Roy's aggressive theory, I believe you are both correct to some degree. Some people will let you run them over, some won't. The thing is usually if there is an A or K on board, they might let you do it because they expect you to be raising AA/KK. You are less likely to get away with it on draw type board and occasionally on rag boards when you find the guy who wants to call with a pair. However, when the card that puts a straight on the board does hit you can occassionally take it away and a lot of times they basically tell you what they have so you can tell if the card hit them or scared them sometimes.
The other day, I was playing a hand where I had AKxx and flop was AJT no flush draw. Opponent called my flop bet and then when I checked, he quickly potted the turn. Right there I knew he had KQ and waited a card because he wanted to make sure the flush card didn't hit or the board didn't pair. I had the nut-flush draw + 3 outs to a tie with the straight. I called because when the board paired a T on the river I bet out 3/4 pot and got him to fold the straight.
So in general, I think they call when:
- they have a straight and there is no flush or better on board.
- they have a flush and the board isn't paired.
- they have bottom set or any 2 pair and there isn't a straight or better on board.
And again, yes, they will call down for their flush and then not even bet it for fear that they are up against a bigger one.
-Wraps are basically the toughest thing to figure out because a lot of times they'll just call and, unlike a flush, you can't be sure if a certain card fills their straight or not.
-Sets they are going to be aggressive with unless there are 3 to a flush or a straight on board, then, sometimes they'll just check/call a c-bet.
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