by Felonius_Monk » Wed Jul 27, 2005 4:21 pm
Heads up it's a very nice play if you have a read on this guy that he'll drop AA; the big worry is that the SB is not only still in the hand BUT is a short-stack too, and thus more likely to push, which'll dent your chances significantly if he has anything much. I think it's a close to marginal move high, and a pretty high-variance one.
Also, it's amazing how badly people get tied to AA - against a good player a few days back I was in a very similar spot, made the big all in flop raise against his (pretty clear) AA with my 60% favourite one pair wrap hand, thinking he was certain to drop, and he called with AA, no other draws, and got rewarded as a dog with turn and river rags for a E500 pot; damn, huh!
Anyway, back to the hand - I think I like your play although the presence of the SB worries me rather a lot, though at least he only has $75. If he's out of the picture then I think it's a very smart bluff against most $200PLO players, so yeah seems you got a tad unlucky.
The Monkman J[c]
"Informer, you no say daddy me snow me Ill go blame,
A licky boom boom down.
Detective mon said daddy me snow me stab someone down the lane,
A licky boom boom down." - Snow, 1993