A hand more for discussion here. Not a ton of hands on Villian, only 76 and he's 53/5.25/1.09. My question(s) here are how attached to this hand should we be?
I ran some scenarios and I'll put them below:
PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha High, $0.25 BB (6 handed) from (Format: Bet The Pot)
MP ($42.15)
CO ($11.65)
Hero ($45.80)
SB ($21.20)
BB ($14.45)
UTG ($15.85)
Preflop: Hero is Button with
,
,
,
.
UTG calls $0.25, MP calls $0.25, CO calls $0.25,
Hero raises to $0.75,
1 fold, BB calls $0.50, UTG calls $0.50, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50.
Flop: ($3.85)
,
,
(5 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, MP checks, CO checks,
Hero bets $3.7,
BB raises to $13.7, UTG folds, MP folds, CO folds, Hero calls $10.
Turn: ($31.25)
(2 players)
River: ($31.25)
(2 players)
Final Pot: $31.25
Results in white below:
BB has Ks Tc 4s 5h (flush, king high).
Outcome: Hero wins $31.25.
1. I gave villian a set of 2 red tens with a suited king, and a dangler...(I gave him a 2s)
I'm a 40% dog
2. I gave him a wrap
and I'm a 60% favorite
3. If I give him the same wrap but take away a few of my outs...
I'm slightly better than a coin toss.
4. Same applies to his actual holding, I'm a bit better than a coin toss here
So in a shorthanded game I'm assuming this situation isn't the worst position to be in HU if someone decides to shove. However let's say 3 way... I'm gathering the set is about 50% for the most part correct? If my hand remains the same and player 3 has some type of straight draw as well. So this is pretty much a clear fold 3 handed.
So overall I'm assuming here (and I'm counting on you guys to critique my analysis) that this is for the most part not a horrible situation to be involed in HU and getting in with this kind of scenario isn't really a huge mistake but well probably add some variance to your game.
This post is kind of taking a slightly different direction somehow, because I seem to be answering my own questions....But anyway I've spent this much time on it so, is there anything else I shold factor in here? Stack sizes, position, etc.?