by briachek » Tue Dec 13, 2005 7:52 pm
Here they are:
[Jh Jd 9d Td] -39.24%
[2s Ac 8s Ad]- 5.65%, tie 11.35%
[5c Ts 6c 7h] -34.68%
[Ah As Qs 5s] - 8.89%, tie 11.35%
with all that raising going on, what are the chances any of my Aces are out there and a decent chance someone has the other AA so I'm basically trying to tie him or edge him out with my weak side cards.
Why gamble it up preflop when I can get my money in better than maybe 35% chance of winning 4 way? I didn't know the pot would be 4 way if I was in but I knew it would at least be 3 way. I know i'm ahead preflop or pretty much tied but know that i am not a good chance to win. These are not like AA in holdem when you should never fold them preflop but in omaha, i think this is actually a clear fold with a 2-3 opponents willing to go in.
As for variance, this game is much less variance for me than NLHE. I think its easier to tell when you are ahead. I can fold with confidence but still get paid off nicely when i hit. I checked pt, and my standard deviation is pretty low at plo50, $36/100 hands, less than a buy in. Compare that to Kenny at NLHE full ring, i believe it was $770 or so at the NL400 level.
Brian
[9s]
Anyone who gets in a fair fight, has no tactical skills.