This is another hand against Carnite, against whom I had both of my big hands today.
On this one, Dr Cobben raises max UTG with God knows what, Carnite calls, as do I in LP with QcQh9c2s and $150. Against this field, I figure I have very good implied odds if I can set, which is about all this hand is worth, and I have position. Flop comes 3-way, and sure enough, I hit gold--well kind of.
Flop is in any case QsJs2d. Dr Cobben checks, Carnite pots for $12, and I decide to flat call here for several reasons. First, this board is actually very draw-heavy, with any card from 8 up making a straight and then the flush. But more than half the deck should still be safe. OOP he's also going to have trouble betting a draw he doesn't have if I rep a draw. Also the fact that I also have the 2 decreases my filling up chances. So, I decide just to see the turn and then hopefully get it all in on a blank.
Like or dislike here?
Well, the turn comes even better with the other Q, quadding me up and really just making the rest of it a matter of deception (my flat call isn't going to look like I have a lot).
Carnite checks, and I check behind, consistent with my draw representation, I figure.
The river comes even sweeter with the 3s, which hopefully won't scare him. But he checks, and now I half-pot. He check-raises to $75, leaving him only $13. I push and he actually folds here. I find it hard to believe that he had the nut flush and folded it, so he probably just figured that I would have to lay down my flush after that betting sequence.
Well, the last part of it I obviously liked, and I think the turn check worked well for deception purposes. But I also picked up a huge hand on the turn.
My main question is really what others think about the flop flat call in this situation--at which point I obviously can't assume that I'm going to quad up... In fact, if a draw does hit and he reps it, I'm planning on letting it go. But if it's a blank, I'll hammer.