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These odds must be mind-boggling

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These odds must be mind-boggling

Postby GodlikeRoy » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:32 am

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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 6:59 am

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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 7:14 am

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Postby GodlikeRoy » Wed Apr 05, 2006 10:15 am

Oh, my, god. That's insane.

As for how many got stacked, everyone was effectively all-in, JJ had the bigest stack and AA had the shortest, so AA won a bit but 88 won the rest.

Edit: JJ won the rest, not 88.
Last edited by GodlikeRoy on Wed Apr 05, 2006 1:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby black_knight6 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 11:12 am

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Postby Kuso » Wed Apr 05, 2006 11:25 am

wwcrd?

"that basically sums up poker for me - 12" needle in the testicle." <nutkick> mvp
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Postby laynegt » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:40 pm

yeah i was gonna say, the chances of any particular hand happening exactly the way it happened is extremely extremely extremely rare.

i get 1 in 31M for the probability of 4 players at a 4-handed table holding 4 unique pairs and then a flop of all the same rank comes.

p(4 unique pp) = C(4,2)/C(52,2)*13 * C(4,2)/C(50,2)*12 * C(4,2)/C(48,2)*11 * C(4,2)/C(46,2)*10 = ~1 in 85,000
p(crazy flop | 4 unique pp) = C(4,3)/C(44,3)*9 = 1 in 368
so p(both) = 1 in 31.4M

if you want 10-handedness, the prob increases by a factor of 5,040 (~1 in 6k); 6-handed, 360 (~1 in 85k).
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Postby adiuvat » Fri Apr 28, 2006 10:35 pm

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Postby GodlikeRoy » Sat Apr 29, 2006 1:08 am

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