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A streak of epic proportions. How do I stop it? - Live Poker Forums

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A streak of epic proportions. How do I stop it?

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A streak of epic proportions. How do I stop it?

Postby MTPaid » Thu Apr 27, 2006 9:07 pm

Copied from another thread with an update added. The following is a progression of my miserable week.


4 SNG's last 2 days - results w/ last hand - lotta idiots check/calling overpairs and top pairs.

5th - TT MP 6x BB raise, UTG limp calls and calls down flop and turn to hit BD flush.
6th - Blinds 75/150 - SB limps, I'm BB. Flop 7AK rainbow, SB checks, I bet pot - he calls, turn 5, SB checks, I push what little I have left, he calls turns over A3.
4th - Limit SNG - KK SB I 3 bet UTG caps. Flop 7TJ rainbow, I bet - called, turn Q, I bet - he raises, I'm all-in. He has AK for straight.
4th - Pushed 4 handed w/ 3.5X BB left on Button w/ 55. SB had 66.
Going further back
3rd - AI preflop 3 handed I have TT vs A3. A and 3 on flop.
4th - JJ in BB, UTG limps I push w/ 6x BB left. He calls turns over AK - that's right he limped 4 handed AK - turn is A.
3rd - raised 3xBB 3 handed on But w/ QTo. BB called. I flop TP (Queens), BB check- called all the way with AA.
6th - BB vs SB. Flopped TP (Kings) SB flopped trips.

Past few days w/ big PP.....

KK saw flop 3x - lost 2x
QQ saw flop 3x - lost 2x - once to J9 when I flopped set and he hit runner runner double gutshot straight.
JJ saw flop 9x - lost 7x
TT saw flop 3x - lost 3x - last one to a guy who called flop and turn with nothing but BD straght draw.
Haven't seen AA in 435 hands, ever since I posted in the PT forum about PP. I musta jinxed myself.

Last SNG today - Lost to a guy who didn't raise JJ or AA from BB or UTG and I flopped TP each time from the SB.

Seriously contemplating becoming one of those guys who just shoves in w/ JJ no matter the blinds.

=================
Update, just lost QQ again UTG raise to 5xBB (30/60 blinds) 4 callers. Flop A45. AJ and 55 end up AI. Went out with TJ, flopped top pair and couldn't get rid of A9. He hit a gutshot wheel on river. Thinking about quitting for a few weeks.

=================

2nd Update. Played 2 more SNG's. 4th and 9th.

Last 3 hands I've seen a flop with today (and possibly for a long time), I've flopped middle pair and lost to 2 pair (Blind vs Blind), flopped TP w/ KQ and lost to Quad 5's, flopped top pair w/ 89s which turned into 2 pair, but lost to a set of 3's.

I've now seen flops with TT through KK 19 times and lost 15 times.

I went 476 hands without seeing AA and when I did, the whole table folded to a raise to 80 w/ 10/20 blinds (That never happens. They call ALL raises!!!)


==================

3 more SNG's (5th- 4th - 6th) today and one MTT (22nd - paid 18)

My SNG ROI has gone from 28% to 5% just this week w/ just about 100 SNG's played.
I have now gone 9 SNG's in a row without cashing and 13 since a better than 3rd place finish.

Hands that crippled me or knocked me out today.......

- Blinds 100/200 w/ 1120 left in MP - 5 left - [7c][7s]
UTG limps, easy push for me, he calls, shows [Ah][Kd] (normal limping hand 5 handed)
Flop is good, turn is [Ac]. I'm slightly ahead on flop, I lose.

- 5 handed 100/200 in BB w/ [Kc][Jh], Button pushes for 895.
I need to call 600 to win 1195. Getting 2 to 1 I call. He shows [Ah][2d].
I'm a 58% to 42% dog, so good call. And I flop a J, but he flops and turns Aces.
No I shouldn't have won, but I'm losing this hand all week long at much more than the odds dictate.
- 3 hands later we are 4 handed w/ same blinds. I have 500 left UTG. [Qs][9c] EASY push for me. Guess who has an Ace again. Same guy in SB. He calls w/ [Ah][4d].
Again a 58% to 42% dog, and AGAIN I flop a pair, but he flops another Ace.
- What are the odds that both times I flop a pair as a slight dog there and he still beats me. In and of themselves, hands that are no big deal, but add them to all of the above.

- MTT - Blinds 500/1000 w/ 75 antes.
I have 31,393 and [Kd][Qd] on the button. UTG, only 1 of 2 with bigger stacks LIMPS in.
I raise to 4,000 (good raise, right?). He calls.
- Flop [7h][Th][Tc]. He bets 1K into 10K pot so I have to raise. I raise to 6K and he calls.
- Turn [Jd]. He checks, I bet 5K into 22K pot w/ 2 overcards, an OE str8 draw, + he has shown no strength.
- Of course he calls. River is a blank. Check, check. He turns [Ac][Qh] and calls me an idiot. He limped AQ and calls me down all the way with A-high. A pair of 2's beat him and I'm the idiot. I guess I am.
- Blinds 600/1200 w/ 100 antes. I have [Ad][Jh] 2 off the button w/ 11,693. It's folded to me and I raise to 6K. Button calls. Flop [Ks][6s][8d]. I push and pray he doesn't have a King. He calls w/ [Qs][Ts]. This is a hand you call a raise w/ when it means most of your stack? Anyway at least I'm still ahead even though I'm now a 55% to 45% dog. Maybe it's time for me to win one of these things. Turn is [Qd] and I'm gone.
- One guy limps with AQ and another one calls a raise w/ QT. I swear I don't know how to win anymore.

- Last SNG - 7 handed 75/150 blinds - I have 1063 in BB w/ [7d][4d]. 2 off the Button limps, Button limps, SB completes and it's a 4 way flop.
- [4c][7h][Kc]. I bet 300 into 600 pot and 2 off the button pushes. I call and he turns over [Ad][Kh]. Another genius who limps w/ AK, but will probably push with 33.
- Joke's on him now cause I'm 75% to win. Turn [Qc] River [Qd] and I'm in shock yet again. What could I have possibly done differently today or this week for that matter?

- I have now lost over $100 playing in tournaments no larger than $7 buy-in even once. Most of them are SNG's.
- I am now 3-7 since last 10 when seeing a flop with TT through KK. (Through almost 10K tourny hands I have seen TT 38x w/ a win % of only 47.37%. I thought Tens were a good starting hand?)
- I have seen AA only 3x in 1,458 hands since Sunday and ALL 3x the blinds were only 10/20.

Holy **** how do I stop it????
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

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"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby Xaston » Thu Apr 27, 2006 9:32 pm

Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby MTPaid » Thu Apr 27, 2006 9:49 pm

No, 6 was just like the 1st day. Let me get my PT out again......

Altogether 14 SNG's (2 3rd's - 12 no cashes)

6 MTT's (4 bubble finishes)
22nd out of 109 (18 paid)
34th out of 192 (18 paid)
9th out of 45 (7 paid)
6th out of 27 (5 paid)
Wasn't even close on the other 2.

Maybe slight over-exaggeration, but it didn't feel like one going through it the past few days. I really feel like I have no idea how to play poker right now. They fold to my big hands, but call my bluffs. I can't be giving off tells because it's online. The bets are about the same size either way and I rarely slowplay. It's almost like they can see my cards or the board cards before it happens.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby flafishy » Fri Apr 28, 2006 1:30 am

"It's all over, baby." -- Scotty Nguyen
"It's all downhill after the first kiss." -- Lou Reed
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Postby MTPaid » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:41 pm

Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Location: New Jersey

Postby GodlikeRoy » Fri Apr 28, 2006 2:48 pm

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It's Over.......Sort Of.

Postby MTPaid » Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:45 pm

Even after I told myself I was quitting for a week, I found myself in a 5 table SNG.

STAGE #388969475 TOURNEY ID 1134282 HOLDEM NO LIMIT $75 - 2006-04-28 21:07:53 (ET)
Table: 2 (Real Money) Seat #4 is the dealer
Seat 1 - REYWDMIT ($2835 in chips)
Seat 2 - BALDZILLA ($1465 in chips)
Seat 3 - BADEGG ($2145 in chips)
Seat 4 - PAYMEDAMONEY ($1195 in chips)
Seat 5 - THARANGER21 ($2810 in chips)
Seat 6 - BIGBABYBOY ($3985 in chips)
Seat 7 - OJPOKER ($2680 in chips)
Seat 8 - VINNIEVIN ($1210 in chips)
Seat 9 - BUSTERD1 ($1305 in chips)

THARANGER21 - Posts small blind $75
BIGBABYBOY - Posts big blind $150
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to PAYMEDAMONEY [9s][9d]
OJPOKER - Folds
VINNIEVIN - Folds
BUSTERD1 - Folds
REYWDMIT - Calls $150
BALDZILLA - Calls $150
BADEGG - Folds
PAYMEDAMONEY - All-In(Raise) $1195 to $1195 (On the button w/ less than 8x BB and no raisers this is an easy decision, right? Nobody would have limped from MP on with a PP higher than 99 would they?)
THARANGER21 - Folds
BIGBABYBOY - Folds
REYWDMIT - Calls $1045
BALDZILLA - Folds

(Caller shows [Ac][Qh]. Another one that limps w/ AQ. What book is this in. Anyway, I'm horrified to see that I'm a small favorite - 56%)

*** FLOP *** [8h][Ah][Jh] - Right away, can't even leave me with 2 outs.
*** TURN *** [5s]
*** RIVER *** [Td]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
REYWDMIT - Shows [Ac][Qh] (One pair, aces)
PAYMEDAMONEY - Shows [9s][9d] (One pair, nines)
REYWDMIT Collects $2765 from main pot

How did I get short stacked? Short stack goes AI for 8xBB (400), I call w/ [Ah][Kh] and another player behind me calls [As][3s]. Shorty shows [Kc][2c]. Board actually turns up and 58QKA, but the 1st 4 cards are spades. I was only 53% to win that one preflop.

---------------------

Decided to play one more and we get down to 4 handed w/ my favorite hand.

STAGE #389012752 TOURNEY ID 60749 HOLDEM SINGLE TOURNAMENT NO LIMIT $200 - 2006-04-28 22:03:39 (ET)
Table: 7028517 (Real Money) Seat #4 is the dealer
Seat 4 - GATORSAM ($2607.50 in chips)
Seat 6 - THE FLY MAN ($2825 in chips)
Seat 7 - PAYMEDAMONEY ($4617.50 in chips)
Seat 8 - GSW75 ($3450 in chips)

THE FLY MAN - Posts small blind $200
PAYMEDAMONEY - Posts big blind $400

*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to PAYMEDAMONEY [Js][Jc]
GSW75 - All-In(Raise) $3450 to $3450
GATORSAM - Folds
THE FLY MAN - Folds

---All-in is the most aggressive player left. He has pushed 4x since we've been 4 handed so far and hasn't had to show a hand. I was actually very seriously considering folding due to my recent luck with this miserable hand.

PAYMEDAMONEY - Calls $3050
*** FLOP *** [5s][4h][2h]
*** TURN *** [2s]
*** RIVER *** [8d]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
PAYMEDAMONEY - Shows [Js][Jc] (Two Pair, jacks and twos)
GSW75 - Shows [Tc][As] (One pair, twos)
PAYMEDAMONEY Collects $7100 from main pot

FINALLY, I'm back ITM!!!

Ended up taking 2nd and couldn't be happier although I did loose hands heads up where it all went in preflop 44 vs K9 (9 on the turn) and 55 vs A4 (actually Split 66J6J).

HU lasted 38 hands (blinds 1500/3000). Final hand Q3s vs vs T7s. He flopped OE and hit it on the turn.

Still may take that week off though. Thanks to all who shared similar stretches in this thread.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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