by palman » Fri Mar 04, 2005 5:03 pm
He wasn't being a maniac, and yes it was the EaglesFan on UPF.
It was basically monkey poker at its finest between me and him for about 5 hours. Fortunately for me I had position on him the entire time. Position is so important in maniac battles that I'd safely say that Instead of a $4.4k winner at the table I could have been a loser. (Think about the ramifications of that hand alone if I was first to act, he would have made his move much sooner and the hand would have never seen a river) I've spent a lot of time trying to figure out how to beat a maniac calling station to act after you while being LAG at the same time, and it's fairly hard to come up with a good plan.
At the time that he called with AJ I thought it was the worst call I'd ever seen.... then I looked at the hand history and thought about the hand, and realized just how good of a call it was. That's why I posted the hand, that and to gloat and needle him.
But disregarding all decisions until the river, his call on the river was a call 99% of poker players wouldn't dream making, myself included, however upon reflection I realized it was correct, and by a fairly significant +EV margin. As soon as most everyone sees someone calling a huge river bet with A high, people say "I'd never risk that much with A high" and disregard it as an idiodic play. It's almost as automatic as 2 + 2'ers telling you you're not being aggressive enough. What I feel is so interesting about the hand is that on the river, he actually made what I feel is a correct play. Simply shutting yourself down and saying "that's dumb" won't help your development as a poker player. The top pros are always inquisitive and analyze things fully, while the Vegas rocks are playing one hand in 20 at NL $2/5 at the mirage. I found myself originally thinking this was absurd, and then analyzing it and seeing it in a different light. That's why I found it particularly interesting.
So, I've made an arguement that his river play is fine here. Whether that is correct or not, I'm not sure.
But another arguement can be made for his play on the flop and the turn. The board was Q 7 2. It's a perfect bluffing flop. Absolutely perfect. But since he knows I'm a LAG, I'm aware of this as well, and he knows I know this. So he can't make your standard check-raise on the flop or turn bluff, since it likely won't work. He decided to wait until all draws were gone, and put me to a decision to either call with garbage (which I can't do) or risk about $1k to bluff him (which I might not have the guts to do, regardless of my feeling) on the river. There's definately a justification for his play. The flop was perfect for it and the logic makes some sense. Some may think "well man he's risking alot just to try a bluff" Well, If it's a great bluffing flop and I think I can take my opponnent off the hand, I want him to be betting alot on the flop and the turn, since that's money I'm making off of him. The money you make by calling people's raises and then bluffing them off the hand is the same money you make by getting someone to call you with a worse hand when you have the nuts. He just happenned to run into that time that I had the hand.
I think you'd have to either see the session in it's entirety or comprehend just how maniacal I can play at times to fully grasp how calling $650 with A high can be +EV, but I feel that it was. After analyzing my own play, I realize that I'd make that bluff about 50% of the time in that situation (someone calling down and then weak leading at the river, I'll bluff that fairly often if I have rags), meaning his call could have around a +$600 EV. The ramifications that fact has on my own play I'm unsure of at the moment.