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Most marginal set I've played in a long time. - Live Poker Forums

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Most marginal set I've played in a long time.

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Most marginal set I've played in a long time.

Postby Dumb Snowman » Sat Jun 03, 2006 12:35 pm

Ok this hand is more weird than anything.

I open raise with [Tc] [Th] and get raised by a player in LP. He's been semi-tight so I'm assuming Aces, Kings, Queens, or AK

Anyway, I call, hoping to set up. Flop comes down [Kd] [Td] [Qh] which is just ugly.So I decide to check-raise all in, and he calls and shows aces, I quad up on fifth and take it down.

But after the hand I started thinking.

If the only hands he has here are Aces, Kings, Queens, and AK, then I'm only ahead 50% of the time. Not only that, but if he has aces there, he has 6 outs so he outdraws me a decent ammount of the time. AK has 4 outs, and some runner runner boat possibilities, so he'll outdraw me a bit. But when they have KK or QQ, I'm drawing to exactly one out.

Now I know I'm not gonna fold a set on the flop any time soon, but what do you guys think about this? Is this one of this situations where folding a set is +EV or am I missing a big piece of the puzzle?

Just an interesting hand. Discuss :lol:
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Postby mike_m235 » Sat Jun 03, 2006 12:41 pm

I had a marginal one too...playing 55 deep stacked at NL100...A54 flop. We start betting...I raise him, he calls, then leads the turn which is a blank...at this point I KNOW he has aces...and I get all in anyway. He had Aces. There was nothing else he could have.

In your situation there are a lot of things he could have that you beat. I played that exact hand the other day at NL200 except I had QQ. The guy got all in with me and turned up AK.
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Postby NorthView » Sat Jun 03, 2006 1:42 pm

You're a 62/38 favourite against those hands.

Nice pot! (jolly good show old chap)
Mon May 12, 2008 1:46 am
When I play a patient and relaxed game I win - that simple.

Mon May 12, 2008 10:55 pm
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==================================================================

[21:03] NorthViewBTP: mac is a fellow mexican
[21:03] Mekosking: yup
[21:03] NorthViewBTP: you should support your bro
[21:03] Mekosking: therefore hes a fat worthless tsr obv
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Postby iceman5 » Sat Jun 03, 2006 2:09 pm

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Postby Dumb Snowman » Sat Jun 03, 2006 7:23 pm

Partake in my bollocks, bloody chav!
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Postby NorthView » Sun Jun 04, 2006 4:13 am

Mon May 12, 2008 1:46 am
When I play a patient and relaxed game I win - that simple.

Mon May 12, 2008 10:55 pm
Seriously, fuck poker.
==================================================================

[21:03] NorthViewBTP: mac is a fellow mexican
[21:03] Mekosking: yup
[21:03] NorthViewBTP: you should support your bro
[21:03] Mekosking: therefore hes a fat worthless tsr obv
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