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Overpair on scary board (5/10 5-max) - Live Poker Forums

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Overpair on scary board (5/10 5-max)

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Overpair on scary board (5/10 5-max)

Postby kennyg » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:19 pm

I don't know this particular opponent. I do have 50 hands from him at some point and his VP$IP is 19% and raise 9%. He has a full stack of $1000 and just sat down.

My image is loose aggressive.

Poker Room skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $5/$10
5 players


Stack sizes:
HERO: $1177.50
CO: $985.00
Button: $188.00
SB: $1088.70
BB: $1000.00

Pre-flop: (5 players) HERO is UTG with [Kd] [Ks]
HERO raises to $35, CO folds, Button calls, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: [8c] [6s] [9d] ($110, 3 players)
BB bets $100, HERO raises to $300, Button folds, BB calls.

Turn: [Jc] ($710, 2 players)
BB bets $300.


Your action? IMO it's either all-in or fold. But which one?
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Postby Triple B » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:37 pm

You don't have an image with this guy, he just sat down. That fact has me leaning towards fold.

I think he's got 89s or maybe a set. His turn says to me he doesn't want you to get a free card. Either that or he's too aggro for his own good.
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Postby shobute » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:40 pm

Instamuck.
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Postby kennyg » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:43 pm

i should have said i raised the previous 3 hands and CB all of them :) he saw that i'm sure...(sadly i have sets two of those hands and got no action.)
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Postby Rhound50 » Thu Jul 20, 2006 2:48 am

I still think this is a fold. His lead on the turn looks like he is trying to protect a hand. Which means he usually has one pair beat.
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Postby muszu » Thu Jul 20, 2006 9:48 am

how hte heck do you manage not to get action with your image? :D
he looks strong here, maybe an overpair to at best, I think you have to really consider the fold here. you can beat only QQ and TT and even with your LAG image , still, he has to have a good hand to bet into you like that after you show strength on the flop, he's trying to price you in and if you make this call you are commited
if there wasn't a river there wouldn't be any fish
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Postby The Golden 1 » Thu Jul 20, 2006 9:56 am

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Postby T-Rod » Thu Jul 20, 2006 10:34 am

IF it's all in or fold, I go fold. He seems to be fairly tight and he's not afraid at all in this pot.
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Postby k3nt » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:58 am

BB has put $335 in the pot so far, leaving him with $665. He just bet almost exactly half of what he has left. He is planning to bet the rest on the river if you just call. I agree it's a push or fold.

He's not showing strength by making flashy bets that say "Look how strong I am you'd better fold!" He's showing strength by making measured bets, none of which looks dangerous, but which combined are going to get all the money in the middle.

If he had a big draw or pair + draw he would push the turn to try to make your turn decision tougher. This way of playing it gives him a very tough river decision if he has that kind of hand and misses.

I agree with Trod, this guy isn't scared of anything. Fold.
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Postby iceman5 » Thu Jul 20, 2006 3:22 pm

iceman5 [As]
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Postby kennyg » Thu Jul 20, 2006 3:32 pm

"I'll take KennyGs advice before Sklanskys every time. "
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